Golden State Warriors at Portland Blazers Game 4 Betting Tips 5/20/2019

Monday, May 20, 2019

Moda Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

Damian Lillard and the Portland Blazers play the Golden State Warriors at Moda Center on Monday in Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals. The Warriors took a commanding 3-0 series lead with a 110-99 win in Game 3. Draymond Green finished with a triple double (20 pts, 13 rebounds, 12 assists) to lead the Warriors closer to yet another NBA Finals appearance. Golden State opens Game 4 as 3 point favorites. The O/U has been set at 220.5.

The Warriors have been a terrible choice for basketball wagerers, having gone 42-54-1 against the spread. The Blazers cover the spread 54.2% of the time, going 52-44-1. The Warriors have been a bad choice for NBA bettors as a favorite, going 36-49-1. Portland has gone 17-21-0 as an underdog, so they cover the spread 44.7% of the time.

Valuable Golden State Warriors Betting Trends

The Warriors have been a solid Under pick for over/under basketball bettors, having gone 47-50-0.

Golden State is covering 47.9% of the time as the away team, having gone 23-25-0.

Important Portland Blazers Betting Trends

The Blazers cover the spread 57.5% of the time at Moda Center, going 27-20-1.

The Blazers have been an inconsistent Under pick for over/under basketball bettors, having gone 50-45-2.

Key Golden State Warriors Injuries

05/19/19 G Andre Iguodala Calf left last game, is doubtful Monday vs Portland
05/16/19 SF Kevin Durant Calf is out Monday vs Portland
05/07/19 C DeMarcus Cousins Quad is out indefinitely

Key Portland Blazers Injuries

05/18/19 PG Damian Lillard Ribs is probable Monday vs Golden State
03/26/19 C Jusuf Nurkic Ankle is out for season

Player Spotlight

Draymond Green averages 7.4 points per game in 31.3 minutes per contest. He averages 6.9 assists per contest and 7.3 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 45% for the year while his free throw percentage is 69%. Klay Thompson comes into this contest averaging 21.5 points per game while playing 34.0 minutes per night. He pulls down 3.8 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.4 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 47% while his free throw percentage is at 82%.

Player Spotlight

Rodney Hood averages 11.2 points per game and he sees the court an average of 26.3 minutes per contest. He also averages 2.2 rebounds per contest and 1.8 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is 88%. Damian Lillard averages 25.8 points per game while playing 35.5 minutes per contest. He grabs 4.6 rebounds per game and has 6.9 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is at 91%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Warriors allow 111.2 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 16th in the league. They also allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 3rd and 11th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 44.3 rebounds a game which ranks 10th, and they give up 24.3 assists per contest which puts them in 12th place in the league. They force 13.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 12th in the league. Golden State averages 117.7 points per contest this season, which ranks them 2nd in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 6.5 and their shooting percentage is 49% as a team, which has them ranked 1st. Behind the arc they shoot 39% which is good for 3rd in the league. They average 46.2 rebounds per game and 29.4 assists per contest, which ranks them 11th and 1st in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 10th with 14.3 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Blazers surrender 110.5 points per contest, which ranks them 14th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 13th and 20th in those defensive statistics. They rank 3rd with 23.2 assists allowed per contest, and 3rd with 42.8 rebounds surrendered per game. The Blazers are 2nd in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 12.4 per game. Portland is 6th in the league with 114.7 points per game this year. They are 12th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 4.2. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 9th in the NBA. They are 3rd in the league in rebounding with 48.0 boards per game and 25th in assists per contest with 23.0. The Blazers are 20th in turnovers per game with 13.8.

Advanced Statistics

The Warriors are 1st in the league in defensive rating with 109.5, and their offensive rating of 115.9 is ranked 12th. They are 10th in the NBA in pace with 100.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 57% is 1st. As a unit they are 1st in the league in true shooting percentage with 60% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shot attempts, ranking 8th in the NBA. Golden State is 13th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.7 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 28th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Portland is 20th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 19th in the league. The Blazers are 3rd in the NBA in offensive rating with 114.7, and their defensive rating of 110.5 is ranked 16th. In terms of pace they are 18th in the league with 99.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 13th. As a team they are 9th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shots, ranking 20th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Warriors/Blazers NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Golden State +3

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