Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets Game 3 Picks 5/4/2019

Saturday, May 4, 2019

Toyota Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Golden State Warriors head to Toyota Center on Saturday where they'll meet Clint Capela and the Houston Rockets in Game 3 of the Western Conference Semifinals. The Warriors lead the series 2-0 after winning Game 2 by a score of 115-109 on Tuesday night. Kevin Durant finished with 29 points, 5 rebounds, and 4 assists to pace Golden State. Houston opens Game 3 as 2.5-point favorites. The total is set at 222. The Warriors (57-25, 1st in the Pacific Division) cover 44% of the time, going 39-50-1 this season. The Rockets (53-29, 1st in the Southwest Division) have an ATS record of 44-42-3, so they cover 51% of the time. As the favorite, Houston covers the spread 49% of the time, while Golden State covered 57% of the time as the underdog this season. The Rockets have been great for point spread bettors at home, going 25-17-2 ATS.

Valuable Golden State Warriors Betting Trends

The Golden State Warriors are 39-50-1 against the spread

The Golden State Warriors are 43-47-0 against the over/under

Important Houston Rockets Betting Trends

The Houston Rockets are 44-42-3 against the spread

The Houston Rockets are 40-45-0 against the over/under

Key Golden State Warriors Injuries

12/02/18 C Damian Jones Shoulder is out indefinitely
04/16/19 C DeMarcus Cousins Quad is out for season

Key Houston Rockets Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Draymond Green averages 7.4 points per game in 31.3 minutes per contest. He averages 6.9 assists per contest and 7.3 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 45% for the year while his free throw percentage is 69%. Klay Thompson comes into this contest averaging 21.5 points per game while playing 34.0 minutes per night. He pulls down 3.8 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.4 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 47% while his free throw percentage is at 82%.

Player Spotlight

Eric Gordon averages 16.2 points per game and he sees the court an average of 31.7 minutes per contest. He also averages 2.2 rebounds per contest and 1.9 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 41% and his free throw percentage is 78%. Clint Capela averages 16.6 points per game while playing 33.6 minutes per contest. He grabs 12.7 rebounds per game and has 1.4 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 65% and his free throw percentage is at 64%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Warriors allow 111.2 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 16th in the league. They also allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 3rd and 11th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 44.3 rebounds a game which ranks 10th, and they give up 24.3 assists per contest which puts them in 12th place in the league. They force 13.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 12th in the league. Golden State averages 117.7 points per contest this season, which ranks them 2nd in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 6.5 and their shooting percentage is 49% as a team, which has them ranked 1st. Behind the arc they shoot 39% which is good for 3rd in the league. They average 46.2 rebounds per game and 29.4 assists per contest, which ranks them 11th and 1st in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 10th with 14.3 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Rockets surrender 109.1 points per contest, which ranks them 10th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 47% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 19th and 2nd in those defensive statistics. They rank 7th with 23.5 assists allowed per contest, and 16th with 45.4 rebounds surrendered per game. The Rockets are 22nd in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 15.0 per game. Houston is 11th in the league with 113.9 points per game this year. They are 25th in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is 4.8. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 11th in the NBA. They are 28th in the league in rebounding with 42.1 boards per game and 28th in assists per contest with 21.2. The Rockets are 25th in turnovers per game with 13.3.

Advanced Statistics

The Warriors are 1st in the league in defensive rating with 109.5, and their offensive rating of 115.9 is ranked 12th. They are 10th in the NBA in pace with 100.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 57% is 1st. As a unit they are 1st in the league in true shooting percentage with 60% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shot attempts, ranking 8th in the NBA. Golden State is 13th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.7 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 28th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Houston is 22nd in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.4 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 13th in the NBA. The Rockets are 2nd in the league in defensive rating with 110.7, and their offensive rating of 115.5 is ranked 17th. They are 26th in the NBA in pace with 97.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 4th. As a unit they are 3rd in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 52% of their shot attempts, ranking 1st in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Warriors/Rockets NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Houston -2.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Josh Schonwald