Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets Expert NBA Picks Against the Spread 1/15/2019

Tuesday, January 15, 2019

Pepsi Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Golden State Warriors travel to Pepsi Center to play the Denver Nuggets on Tuesday, January 15, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has Golden State as 2.5 point favorites.

The Warriors have a record of 29-14. They are 1st in the Pacific Division. They have a point differential of 5.7 as they average 117.4 points per game while giving up 111.7 per contest. The Nuggets have an overall mark of 29-13. They currently are 1st in the Northwest Division. They total 110.4 points per contest and give up 105.5, which is a point differential of 4.9.

Valuable Golden State Warriors Betting Trends

The Golden State Warriors are 18-24-0 against the spread

The Golden State Warriors are 22-20-0 against the over/under

Important Denver Nuggets Betting Trends

The Denver Nuggets are 23-18-0 against the spread

The Denver Nuggets are 18-23-0 against the over/under

Key Golden State Warriors Injuries

12/02/18 C Damian Jones Shoulder is out indefinitely
01/11/19 F DeMarcus Cousins Achilles is out indefinitely - expected to return Jan. 18th

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

10/11/18 G Isaiah Thomas Hip is out indefinitely
01/13/19 G Gary Harris Hamstring is questionable Tuesday vs Golden State
01/13/19 F Trey Lyles Wrist is questionable Tuesday vs Golden State

Player Spotlight

Klay Thompson comes into this contest averaging 21.7 points per game while playing 34.5 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 4.1 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.0 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 45% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 80%. Kevin Durant averages 28.2 points per game in 35.7 minutes per contest this season. He averages 6.1 assists per contest and 7.3 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 51% for the year while his free throw percentage is 91%.

Player Spotlight

Jamal Murray averages 18.5 points per game while playing 34.2 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 4.7 rebounds per game and has 4.9 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is at 83%. Nikola Jokic averages 19.7 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 31.4 minutes per contest. He also averages 10.2 rebounds per contest and 7.5 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 51% and his free throw percentage is 84%.

Useful Team Statistics

Golden State averages 117.4 points per contest this season, which ranks them 2nd in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 5.7 and their shooting percentage is 49% as a team, which has them ranked 1st. Behind the arc they shoot 39% which is good for 3rd in the league. They average 46.2 rebounds per game and 28.4 assists per game, which ranks them 9th and 1st in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 12th with 14.1 per game. The Warriors allow 111.7 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 20th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 7th and 11th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 43.2 rebounds a game which ranks 4th and they give up 23.9 assists per contest, which puts them in 14th place in the league. They force 12.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 5th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Denver is 18th in the league with 110.4 points per game this year. They are 12th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 4.9. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 16th in the NBA. They are 6th in the league in rebounding with 47.0 boards per game, and 2nd in assists per contest with 27.1. The Nuggets are 21st in turnovers per game with 13.4. The Nuggets surrender 105.5 points per contest, which ranks them 4th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 33% average from 3-point range, ranking them 13th and 3rd in those defensive statistics. They rank 13th with 23.8 assists allowed per contest and 1st with 41.9 rebounds surrendered per game. The Nuggets are 8th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 12.9 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Warriors are 1st in the NBA in offensive rating with 116.2, and their defensive rating of 110.5 is ranked 16th. In terms of pace they are 10th in the league with 100.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 56% is 1st. As a team they are 1st in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shots, ranking 12th in the league. Golden State is 12th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.2 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 22nd in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Denver is 23rd in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 19th in the league. The Nuggets are 5th in the NBA in offensive rating with 113.7, and their defensive rating of 108.6 is ranked 10th. In terms of pace they are 27th in the league with 96.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 15th. As a team they are 17th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shots, ranking 18th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Warriors/Nuggets NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Denver +2.5

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