Detroit Pistons vs. San Antonio Spurs - 12/28/19 NBA Picks, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Detroit Pistons vs San Antonio Spurs

Date: Saturday, December 28, 2019

Location: AT&T Center in San Antonio, TX

TV: Fox Sports Southwest - San Antonio

Odds/Point Spread: San Antonio -4.5

Total/Over-Under: 222.5

LaMarcus Aldridge and the San Antonio Spurs (12-18, 3rd in the Southwest Division) play the Detroit Pistons (12-20, 4th in the Central Division) at AT&T Center on Saturday, December 28, 2019. San Antonio opens this game as 4.5 point favorites. The O/U has been set at 222.5.

The Pistons are covering 38.7% of the time, having gone 12-19-1 ATS. San Antonio is covering 34.5% of the time, going 10-19-1 against the spread.

Key Detroit Pistons Injuries

12/26/2019 Luke Kennard SG Knee Expected to be out until at least Jan 9
12/26/2019 Jordan Bone PG Knee Game Time Decision
12/26/2019 Reggie Jackson PG Back Game Time Decision
11/13/2019 Khyri Thomas SG Foot Expected to be out until at least Jan 1

Key San Antonio Spurs Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Derrick Rose averages 16.4 points per game in 24.3 minutes per contest. He averages 6.0 assists per contest and 2.2 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 49% for the year while his free throw percentage is 87%. Andre Drummond comes into this contest averaging 17.9 points per game while playing 33.6 minutes per night. He pulls down 15.9 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.8 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 56% while his free throw percentage is at 61%.

Player Spotlight

DeMar DeRozan averages 20.9 points per game and he sees the court an average of 33.7 minutes per contest. He also averages 5.3 rebounds per contest and 4.9 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 51% and his free throw percentage is 82%. LaMarcus Aldridge averages 19.3 points per game while playing 33.0 minutes per contest. He grabs 7.4 rebounds per game and has 2.5 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 51% and his free throw percentage is at 83%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Pistons allow 110.4 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 16th in the league. They also allow a 47% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the arc, ranking them 24th and 21st in those defensive categories. Opponents average 42.4 rebounds a game which ranks 4th, and they give up 24.8 assists per contest which puts them in 22nd place in the league. They force 14.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 7th in the league. Detroit averages 109.1 points per contest this season, which ranks them 19th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -1.3 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 6th. Behind the arc they shoot 38% which is good for 3rd in the league. They average 42.3 rebounds per game and 25.1 assists per contest, which ranks them 28th and 10th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 6th with 16.1 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Spurs surrender 115.2 points per contest, which ranks them 24th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 47% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 20th and 17th in those defensive statistics. They rank 25th with 25.3 assists allowed per contest, and 22nd with 46.3 rebounds surrendered per game. The Spurs are 5th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.3 per game. San Antonio is 8th in the league with 112.5 points per game this year. They are 5th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is -2.7. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 17th in the NBA. They are 9th in the league in rebounding with 46.1 boards per game and 14th in assists per contest with 24.5. The Spurs are 26th in turnovers per game with 13.7.

Advanced Statistics

The Pistons are 11th in the NBA in offensive rating with 110.2, and their defensive rating of 111.5 is ranked 21st. In terms of pace they are 23rd in the league with 99 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 5th. As a team they are 5th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 13th in the league. Detroit is 3rd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.7 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 54%, which is 11th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

San Antonio is 27th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.6 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 12th in the NBA. The Spurs are 15th in the league in defensive rating with 111.9, and their offensive rating of 109.3 is ranked 22nd. They are 12th in the NBA in pace with 101.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 18th. As a unit they are 15th in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 29% of their shot attempts, ranking 30th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Pistons/Spurs NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take San Antonio -4.5

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