Detroit Pistons at Milwaukee Bucks Expert Game 2 Picks Against the Spread 4/17/2019

Wednesday, April 17, 2019

Fiserv Forum

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Detroit Pistons head to Fiserv Forum on Wednesday where they'll take on Khris Middleton and the Milwaukee Bucks in Game 2 of their series. The Bucks beat the Pistons 121-86 to take a 1-0 series lead. The opening line has Milwaukee as 14.5 favorites. The Pistons (41-41, 3rd in the Central Division) cover 50.6% of the time, going 41-40-2 against the spread this year. The Bucks (60-22, 1st in the Central Division) have an ATS record of 48-31-4, so they cover the spread 60.8%. As a favorite Milwaukee covers the spread 59.4% of the time, while Detroit has covered 59.5% as an underdog this season.

Valuable Detroit Pistons Betting Trends

The Detroit Pistons are 42-40-1 against the spread

The Detroit Pistons are 38-44-0 against the over/under

Important Milwaukee Bucks Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Bucks are 48-32-3 against the spread

The Milwaukee Bucks are 41-42-0 against the over/under

Key Detroit Pistons Injuries

4/15/2019 Blake Griffin PF Knee Game Time Decision
4/12/2019 Svi Mykhailiuk SG Finger Expected to be out until at least Apr 30

Key Milwaukee Bucks Injuries

4/15/2019 Tony Snell SG Ankle Game Time Decision
3/26/2019 Donte DiVincenzo SG Heel Out for the season
3/23/2019 Pau Gasol PF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Apr 22
3/16/2019 Malcolm Brogdon PG Foot Expected to be out until at least Apr 27

Player Spotlight

Wayne Ellington comes into this contest averaging 10.3 points per game while playing 24.5 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 2.0 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.4 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 40% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 80%. Bruce Brown averages 4.3 points per game in 19.6 minutes per contest this season. He averages 1.2 assists per contest and 2.5 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 40% for the year while his free throw percentage is 75%.

Player Spotlight

Khris Middleton averages 18.3 points per game while playing 31.1 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 6.0 rebounds per game and has 4.3 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is at 84%. Brook Lopez averages 12.5 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 28.7 minutes per contest. He also averages 4.9 rebounds per contest and 1.2 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is 84%.

Useful Team Statistics

Detroit averages 107.0 points per contest this season, which ranks them 25th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -0.2 and their shooting percentage is 44% as a team, which has them ranked 29th. Behind the arc they shoot 35% which is good for 22nd in the league. They average 45.0 rebounds per game and 22.5 assists per game, which ranks them 18th and 26th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 19th with 13.8 per game. The Pistons allow 107.3 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 7th in the league. They also allow a 47% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 24th and 9th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 43.7 rebounds a game which ranks 6th and they give up 23.7 assists per contest, which puts them in 9th place in the league. They force 14.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 17th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Milwaukee is 1st in the league with 118.1 points per game this year. They are 3rd in the league in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 8.9. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 15th in the NBA. They are 1st in the league in rebounding with 49.7 boards per game, and 7th in assists per contest with 26.0. The Bucks are 18th in turnovers per game with 13.9. The Bucks surrender 109.3 points per contest, which ranks them 11th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 43% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 1st and 22nd in those defensive statistics. They rank 19th with 24.8 assists allowed per contest and 15th with 45.3 rebounds surrendered per game. The Bucks are 10th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.4 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Pistons are 21st in the NBA in offensive rating with 109, and their defensive rating of 109.2 is ranked 11th. In terms of pace they are 28th in the league with 97.4 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 26th. As a team they are 26th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 6th in the league. Detroit is 17th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.8 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 12th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Milwaukee is 21st in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.5 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 50%, which is 30th in the NBA. The Bucks are 4th in the league in defensive rating with 105.2, and their offensive rating of 113.8 is ranked 1st. They are 2nd in the NBA in pace with 103.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 2nd. As a unit they are 2nd in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shot attempts, ranking 3rd in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Pistons/Bucks NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Milwaukee -14.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn