Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings NBA Picks & Predictions 11/30/2019

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings

Date: Saturday, November 30, 2019

Location: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, CA

TV: NBC Sports California

Odds/Point Spread: Denver -4.5

Total/Over-Under: 209

Jamal Murray and the Denver Nuggets (13-3, 1st in the Northwest Division) are headed to Golden 1 Center on Saturday where they'll meet the Sacramento Kings (7-10, 4th in the Pacific Division). Sacramento opens this game as 4.5 point dogs. The O/U opens at 209.

The Nuggets cover the spread 53.3% of the time, having gone 8-7-1 ATS. Sacramento is covering 64.7% of the time, going 11-6-0 against the spread.

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

11/29/2019 Vlatko Cancar SF Illness Game Time Decision

Key Sacramento Kings Injuries

11/27/2019 Trevor Ariza SG Groin Game Time Decision
11/27/2019 III Marvin Bagley III PF Thumb Game Time Decision
11/12/2019 De'Aaron Fox PG Ankle Expected to be out until at least Dec 20

Player Spotlight

Jamal Murray comes into this contest averaging 18.8 points per game while playing 32.9 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 4.6 rebounds per game and dishes out 4.8 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 44% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 89%. Nikola Jokic averages 16.1 points per game in 30.6 minutes per contest this season. He averages 6.0 assists per contest and 10.4 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 47% for the year while his free throw percentage is 78%.

Player Spotlight

Buddy Hield averages 20.5 points per game while playing 33.0 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 4.5 rebounds per game and has 2.4 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is at 89%. Harrison Barnes averages 15.9 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 34.5 minutes per contest. He also averages 5.0 rebounds per contest and 2.1 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 50% and his free throw percentage is 78%.

Useful Team Statistics

Denver averages 107.3 points per contest this season, which ranks them 22nd in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 5.4 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team, which has them ranked 21st. Behind the arc they shoot 35% which is good for 17th in the league. They average 47.6 rebounds per game and 26.1 assists per game, which ranks them 4th and 6th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 24th with 13.9 per game. The Nuggets allow 101.9 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 1st in the league. They also allow a 43% shooting percentage and a 31% average from behind the arc, ranking them 5th and 2nd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 44.9 rebounds a game which ranks 10th and they give up 24.1 assists per contest, which puts them in 16th place in the league. They force 14.6 turnovers per game which ranks them 8th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Sacramento is 27th in the league with 104.5 points per game this year. They are 22nd in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is -3.7. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 11th in the NBA. They are 29th in the league in rebounding with 41.3 boards per game, and 23rd in assists per contest with 22.8. The Kings are 11th in turnovers per game with 15.9. The Kings surrender 108.2 points per contest, which ranks them 11th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 47% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 24th and 9th in those defensive statistics. They rank 13th with 23.3 assists allowed per contest and 4th with 42.3 rebounds surrendered per game. The Kings are 16th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 15.4 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Nuggets are 18th in the NBA in offensive rating with 107.8, and their defensive rating of 102.3 is ranked 1st. In terms of pace they are 27th in the league with 98.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 25th. As a team they are 26th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 32% of their shots, ranking 28th in the league. Denver is 25th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.2 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 49%, which is 28th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Sacramento is 7th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.1 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 54%, which is 10th in the league. The Kings are 21st in the NBA in offensive rating with 106.9, and their defensive rating of 110.7 is ranked 20th. In terms of pace they are 29th in the league with 97.8 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 15th. As a team they are 19th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 41% of their shots, ranking 8th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Nuggets/Kings NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Denver -4.5

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