Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Game Picks 11/10/2019

Sunday, November 10, 2019

Target Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

Karl-Anthony Towns and the Minnesota Timberwolves (5-3, 3rd in the Northwest Division) play the Denver Nuggets (6-2, 1st in the Northwest Division) at Target Center on Sunday, November 10, 2019. The line on this matchup has Denver as 1.5 point favorites. The over/under is set at 217.

The Nuggets are covering the spread 42.9% of the time, having gone 3-4-1 ATS. Minnesota is covering 42.9% of the time, going 3-4-1 against the spread.

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Minnesota Timberwolves Injuries

11/8/2019 Jeff Teague PG Illness Expected to be out until at least Nov 10
11/8/2019 Shabazz Napier PG Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Nov 10

Player Spotlight

Nikola Jokic comes into this contest averaging 16.3 points per game while playing 30.6 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 9.8 rebounds per game and dishes out 5.9 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 46% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 78%. Jamal Murray averages 19.3 points per game in 33.4 minutes per contest this season. He averages 4.5 assists per contest and 5.0 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 47% for the year while his free throw percentage is 85%.

Player Spotlight

Karl-Anthony Towns averages 25.7 points per game while playing 32.2 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 12.2 rebounds per game and has 3.7 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 50% and his free throw percentage is at 69%. Andrew Wiggins averages 24.6 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 34.1 minutes per contest. He also averages 4.8 rebounds per contest and 2.9 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is 69%.

Useful Team Statistics

Denver averages 103.8 points per contest this season, which ranks them 26th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 3.1 and their shooting percentage is 44% as a team, which has them ranked 27th. Behind the arc they shoot 35% which is good for 13th in the league. They average 44.8 rebounds per game and 23.8 assists per game, which ranks them 21st and 15th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 23rd with 14.5 per game. The Nuggets allow 100.6 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 4th in the league. They also allow a 43% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 8th and 10th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 46.1 rebounds a game which ranks 15th and they give up 24.4 assists per contest, which puts them in 22nd place in the league. They force 15.6 turnovers per game which ranks them 15th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Minnesota is 4th in the league with 117.8 points per game this year. They are 23rd in the league in shooting at 44%, while their average scoring margin is -1.0. They shoot 32% from 3-point range, which is good for 26th in the NBA. They are 10th in the league in rebounding with 46.6 boards per game, and 14th in assists per contest with 23.9. The Timberwolves are 11th in turnovers per game with 16.9. The Timberwolves surrender 118.8 points per contest, which ranks them 26th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 47% shooting percentage and a 39% average from 3-point range, ranking them 24th and 29th in those defensive statistics. They rank 18th with 23.9 assists allowed per contest and 23rd with 47.6 rebounds surrendered per game. The Timberwolves are 29th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 18.9 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Nuggets are 22nd in the league in defensive rating with 101.9, and their offensive rating of 105.1 is ranked 6th. They are 30th in the NBA in pace with 97.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 49% is 26th. As a unit they are 26th in the league in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 32% of their shot attempts, ranking 27th in the NBA. Denver is 20th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.1 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 49%, which is 23rd in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Minnesota is 18th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 15.4 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 54%, which is 8th in the NBA. The Timberwolves are 17th in the league in defensive rating with 107.5, and their offensive rating of 106.6 is ranked 17th. They are 1st in the NBA in pace with 107.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 50% is 23rd. As a unit they are 24th in the league in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shot attempts, ranking 5th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Nuggets/Timberwolves NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Minnesota +1.5

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