Denver Nuggets vs. Boston Celtics - 12/6/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Game: Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics
Date: Friday, December 6, 2019
Location: TD Garden in Boston, MA
TV: ESPN
Odds/Point Spread: Boston -3.5
Total/Over-Under: 204
Jaylen Brown and the Boston Celtics (15-5, 1st in the Atlantic Division) play the Denver Nuggets (13-5, 1st in the Northwest Division) at TD Garden on Friday, December 6, 2019. Boston opens this game as 3.5 point favorites. The total has been set at 204.
The Nuggets are covering the spread 47.1% of the time, having gone 8-9-1 ATS. Boston is covering 66.7% of the time, going 12-6-2 against the spread.
Key Denver Nuggets Injuries
No key injuries to report
Key Boston Celtics Injuries
12/4/2019 Marcus Smart PG Oblique Game Time Decision
11/27/2019 Tacko Fall C Knee Expected to be out until at least Dec 8
11/11/2019 Gordon Hayward SF Hand Expected to be out until at least Dec 25
Player Spotlight
Nikola Jokic averages 15.4 points per contest in 31.2 minutes per game this year. He averages 6.1 assists per game and 10.1 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 45% for the season while his free throw percentage is 78%. Jamal Murray comes into this game averaging 18.7 points per contest while playing 33.3 minutes per night. He grabs 4.6 rebounds per contest and distributes 4.9 assists per game. His FG percentage is 44% while his free throw percentage is 91%.
Player Spotlight
Jayson Tatum averages 21.0 points per game and he sees the court an average of 34.6 minutes per game. He also hauls in 7.0 rebounds per game and dishes 2.8 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 41% and his free throw percentage is 82%. Jaylen Brown scores 19.9 points per contest while playing 33.5 minutes per game. He hauls in 6.9 rebounds per contest and has 1.9 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 49% and his free throw percentage is at 72%.
Useful Team Statistics
The Nuggets allow 101.9 points per contest which is 1st in the NBA. They also surrender a 43% shooting percentage and a 31% average from 3-point range, ranking them 4th and 1st in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 45.8 rebounds a game which ranks 17th, and they allow 24.0 assists per game which puts them in 16th place in the league. They force 14.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 10th in the NBA. Denver averages 106.1 points per contest, which is 23rd in the league. Their average scoring margin is 4.2 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a unit, which has them ranked 23rd. From 3-point territory they shoot 35%, which is good for 24th in the NBA. They average 46.9 boards per contest and 25.9 assists per game, which ranks them 7th and 6th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 25th with 13.9 per game.
Useful Team Statistics
The Celtics give up 103.9 points per game, which ranks them 5th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 43% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 6th and 6th in those defensive statistics. They rank 7th with 22.9 dimes allowed per game and 26th with 46.9 boards surrendered per contest. The Celtics are 26th in the league in forcing turnovers with 16.8 per contest. Boston is 15th in the NBA with 110.8 points per contest this season. They are 24th in the league in shooting at 44%, while their average scoring margin is 6.9. They shoot 35% from beyond the arc, which is good for 21st in the league. They are 9th in the NBA in rebounding with 46.5 boards per contest and 19th in assists per game with 23.6. The Celtics are 29th in turnovers per contest with 13.1.
Advanced Statistics
The Nuggets are 21st in the NBA in offensive rating with 106.5, and their defensive rating of 102.3 is ranked 1st. In terms of pace they are 27th in the league with 98 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 50% is 25th. As a team they are 27th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 33% of their shots, ranking 27th in the league. Denver is 26th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.2 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 49%, which is 29th in the league.
Advanced Statistics
Boston is 29th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.8 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 50%, which is 23rd in the league. The Celtics are 9th in the NBA in offensive rating with 110.7, and their defensive rating of 103.8 is ranked 6th. In terms of pace they are 21st in the league with 99.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 22nd. As a team they are 21st in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 13th in the league.
So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?
Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Boston -3.5 and over 204 total points
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Additional Resources:
Boston Celtics - Twitter
Denver Nuggets - Twitter