Denver Nuggets at San Antonio Spurs Game 6 Picks 4/25/2019

Thursday, April 25, 2019

AT&T Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Denver Nuggets head to AT&T Center on Thursday where they'll take on DeMar DeRozan and the San Antonio Spurs in Game 6 of their series. The Nuggets lead the series 3-2 after taking Game 5 in Denver by a score of 108-90. San Antonio opens as 2.5-point favorites. The total is 208.5. The Nuggets (54-28, 1st in the Northwest Division) are covering 52% of the time, going 45-42-0 this year. The Spurs (48-34, 2nd in the Southwest Division) have an ATS mark of 45-41-1, so they are covering 52% of the time. As a favorite, San Antonio is covering the spread 50% of the time, while Denver covered the spread 50% as an underdog this year. The Spurs have been great for NBA bettors at home, going 25-18-0 against the spread.

Valuable Denver Nuggets Betting Trends

The Denver Nuggets are 44-42-0 against the spread

The Denver Nuggets are 38-48-0 against the over/under

Important San Antonio Spurs Betting Trends

The San Antonio Spurs are 45-39-2 against the spread

The San Antonio Spurs are 46-40-0 against the over/under

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key San Antonio Spurs Injuries

10/08/18 G Dejounte Murray ACL is out for season

Player Spotlight

Nikola Jokic averages 20.1 points per game in 31.3 minutes per contest. He averages 7.3 assists per contest and 10.8 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 51% for the year while his free throw percentage is 82%. Paul Millsap comes into this contest averaging 12.6 points per game while playing 27.1 minutes per night. He pulls down 7.2 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.0 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 48% while his free throw percentage is at 73%.

Player Spotlight

LaMarcus Aldridge averages 21.3 points per game and he sees the court an average of 33.2 minutes per contest. He also averages 9.2 rebounds per contest and 2.4 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 52% and his free throw percentage is 85%. DeMar DeRozan averages 21.2 points per game while playing 34.9 minutes per contest. He grabs 6.0 rebounds per game and has 6.2 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is at 83%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Nuggets allow 106.7 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 6th in the league. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 15th and 1st in those defensive categories. Opponents average 42.5 rebounds a game which ranks 1st, and they give up 24.6 assists per contest which puts them in 16th place in the league. They force 13.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 14th in the league. Denver averages 110.7 points per contest this season, which ranks them 20th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 4.0 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 13th. Behind the arc they shoot 35% which is good for 20th in the league. They average 46.4 rebounds per game and 27.4 assists per contest, which ranks them 8th and 2nd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 23rd with 13.4 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Spurs surrender 110.0 points per contest, which ranks them 12th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 18th and 19th in those defensive statistics. They rank 18th with 24.7 assists allowed per contest, and 7th with 43.9 rebounds surrendered per game. The Spurs are 1st in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 12.2 per game. San Antonio is 18th in the league with 111.7 points per game this year. They are 2nd in the league in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 1.7. They shoot 39% from 3-point range, which is good for 1st in the NBA. They are 21st in the league in rebounding with 44.7 boards per game and 16th in assists per contest with 24.5. The Spurs are 30th in turnovers per game with 12.1.

Advanced Statistics

The Nuggets are 6th in the NBA in offensive rating with 113, and their defensive rating of 108.9 is ranked 10th. In terms of pace they are 27th in the league with 97.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 14th. As a team they are 14th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shots, ranking 15th in the league. Denver is 24th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.3 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 17th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

San Antonio is 29th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 11th in the league. The Spurs are 7th in the NBA in offensive rating with 112.9, and their defensive rating of 111.2 is ranked 19th. In terms of pace they are 22nd in the league with 98.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 7th. As a team they are 7th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 29% of their shots, ranking 30th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Nuggets/Spurs NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take San Antonio -2.5

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