Denver Nuggets at San Antonio Spurs Expert Game 4 Picks 4/20/2019

Saturday, April 20, 2019

AT&T Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Denver Nuggets head to AT&T Center on Saturday where they'll take on Derrick White and the San Antonio Spurs. The opening line for this game has San Antonio as 3.5 point favorites. The Spurs lead the series 2-1 after winning Game 3 by a score of 118-108.

The Nuggets (54-28, 1st in the Northwest Division) cover 50.6% of the time, going 43-42-0 against the spread this year. The Spurs (48-34, 2nd in the Southwest Division) have an ATS record of 45-39-1, so they cover the spread 53.6% of the time. As a favorite San Antonio covers the spread 51.0% of the time, while Denver has covered 51.7% as an underdog this season.

Valuable Denver Nuggets Betting Trends

The Denver Nuggets are 43-41-0 against the spread this season

The Denver Nuggets are 36-48-0 against the over/under this year

Important San Antonio Spurs Betting Trends

The San Antonio Spurs are 44-38-2 against the spread this season

The San Antonio Spurs are 44-40-0 against the over/under this year

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key San Antonio Spurs Injuries

10/08/18 G Dejounte Murray ACL is out for season

Player Spotlight

Jamal Murray comes into this game averaging 18.2 points per contest while playing 32.6 minutes per night this year. He grabs 4.2 rebounds per contest and distributes 4.8 assists per game. His FG percentage is 44% while his free throw percentage is 85%. Gary Harris averages 12.9 points per contest in 28.8 minutes per game. He averages 2.2 assists per game and 2.8 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 42% for the season while his free throw percentage is 80%.

Player Spotlight

Derrick White scores 9.9 points per contest while playing 25.8 minutes per game. He hauls in 3.7 rebounds per contest and has 3.9 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is at 77%. Jakob Poeltl averages 5.5 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 16.5 minutes per game. He also brings in 5.3 rebounds per game and has 1.2 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 65% and his free throw percentage is 53%.

Useful Team Statistics

Denver averages 110.7 points per contest, which is 20th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 4.0 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a unit, which has them ranked 13th. From 3-point territory they shoot 35%, which is good for 20th in the NBA. They average 46.4 boards per contest and 27.4 assists per game, which ranks them 8th and 2nd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 23rd with 13.4 per game. The Nuggets allow 106.7 points per contest, which is 6th in the NBA. They also surrender a 46% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 15th and 1st in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 42.5 rebounds a game which ranks 1st, and they allow 24.6 assists per game which puts them in 16th place in the league. They force 13.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 14th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

San Antonio is 18th in the NBA with 111.7 points per contest this season. They are 2nd in the league in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 1.68. They shoot 39% from beyond the arc, which is good for 1st in the league. They are 21st in the NBA in rebounding with 44.7 boards per contest and 16th in assists per game with 24.5. The Spurs are 30th in turnovers per contest with 12.1. The Spurs give up 110.0 points per game, which ranks them 12th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 46% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 18th and 19th in those defensive statistics. They rank 18th with 24.7 dimes allowed per game and 7th with 43.9 boards surrendered per contest. The Spurs are 1st in the league in forcing turnovers with 12.2 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Nuggets are 6th in the NBA in offensive rating with 113, and their defensive rating of 108.9 is ranked 10th. In terms of pace they are 27th in the league with 97.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 14th. As a team they are 14th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shots, ranking 15th in the league. Denver is 24th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.3 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 17th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

San Antonio is 29th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 11th in the league. The Spurs are 7th in the NBA in offensive rating with 112.9, and their defensive rating of 111.2 is ranked 19th. In terms of pace they are 22nd in the league with 98.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 7th. As a team they are 7th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 29% of their shots, ranking 30th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Nuggets/Spurs NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Denver +3.5

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