Denver Nuggets at Portland Blazers Game 6 Picks Against the Spread 5/9/2019

Thursday, May 9, 2019

Moda Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Denver Nuggets travel to Moda Center on Thursday where they'll meet Damian Lillard and the Portland Blazers in Game 6 of the Western Conference Semifinals. The Nuggets can clinch the series after blowing out the Blazers in Game 5 by a score of 124-98. Nikola Jokic led the Nuggets with 25 points, 19 boards, and 6 assists. Portland opens Game 6 as 3.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 215. The Nuggets (54-28, 1st in the Northwest Division) are covering 52% of the time, having gone 49-45-0 this season. The Blazers (53-29, 2nd in the Northwest Division) have an ATS record of 49-42-1, so they are covering 54% of the time. As the favorite, Portland covers the spread 61% of the time, while Denver has covered the spread 52% of the time as the underdog this season. The Blazers have been great for point spread wagerers at home, going 26-19-1 against the spread.

Valuable Denver Nuggets Betting Trends

The Denver Nuggets are 48-45-0 against the spread

The Denver Nuggets are 42-51-0 against the over/under

Important Portland Blazers Betting Trends

The Portland Blazers are 49-42-0 against the spread

The Portland Blazers are 48-42-0 against the over/under

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Portland Blazers Injuries

03/26/19 C Jusuf Nurkic Ankle is out for season

Player Spotlight

Jamal Murray comes into this contest averaging 18.2 points per game while playing 32.6 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 4.2 rebounds per game and dishes out 4.8 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 44% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 85%. Gary Harris averages 12.9 points per game in 28.8 minutes per contest this season. He averages 2.2 assists per contest and 2.8 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 42% for the year while his free throw percentage is 80%.

Player Spotlight

Rodney Hood averages 11.2 points per game while playing 26.3 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 2.2 rebounds per game and has 1.8 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is at 88%. Enes Kanter averages 13.7 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 24.5 minutes per contest. He also averages 9.8 rebounds per contest and 1.7 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 55% and his free throw percentage is 79%.

Useful Team Statistics

Denver averages 110.7 points per contest this season, which ranks them 20th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 4.0 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 13th. Behind the arc they shoot 35% which is good for 20th in the league. They average 46.4 rebounds per game and 27.4 assists per game, which ranks them 8th and 2nd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 23rd with 13.4 per game. The Nuggets allow 106.7 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 6th in the league. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 15th and 1st in those defensive categories. Opponents average 42.5 rebounds a game which ranks 1st and they give up 24.6 assists per contest, which puts them in 16th place in the league. They force 13.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 14th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Portland is 6th in the league with 114.7 points per game this year. They are 12th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 4.2. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 9th in the NBA. They are 3rd in the league in rebounding with 48.0 boards per game, and 25th in assists per contest with 23.0. The Blazers are 20th in turnovers per game with 13.8. The Blazers surrender 110.5 points per contest, which ranks them 14th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 13th and 20th in those defensive statistics. They rank 3rd with 23.2 assists allowed per contest and 3rd with 42.8 rebounds surrendered per game. The Blazers were 2nd in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 12.4 per game last season.

Advanced Statistics

The Nuggets are 6th in the NBA in offensive rating with 113, and their defensive rating of 108.9 is ranked 10th. In terms of pace they are 27th in the league with 97.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 14th. As a team they are 14th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shots, ranking 15th in the league. Denver is 24th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.3 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 17th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Portland is 20th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 19th in the league. The Blazers are 3rd in the NBA in offensive rating with 114.7, and their defensive rating of 110.5 is ranked 16th. In terms of pace they are 18th in the league with 99.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 13th. As a team they are 9th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shots, ranking 20th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Nuggets/Blazers NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Portland +3.5

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