Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies NBA Picks & Predictions 1/28/2019

Monday, January 28, 2019

FedExForum

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Denver Nuggets travel to FedExForum to play the Memphis Grizzlies on Monday, January 28, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has Denver as 5 point favorites.

The Nuggets have a record of 33-15. They are 1st in the Northwest Division. They have a point differential of 5.7 as they average 112.0 points per game while giving up 106.2 per contest. The Grizzlies have an overall mark of 20-30. They currently are 5th in the Southwest Division. They total 100.8 points per contest and give up 104.0, which is a point differential of -3.3.

Valuable Denver Nuggets Betting Trends

The Denver Nuggets are 26-21-0 against the spread

The Denver Nuggets are 24-23-0 against the over/under

Important Memphis Grizzlies Betting Trends

The Memphis Grizzlies are 19-30-0 against the spread

The Memphis Grizzlies are 18-30-0 against the over/under

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

10/11/18 G Isaiah Thomas Hip is out indefinitely
01/26/19 G Jamal Murray Ankle is questionable Monday vs Memphis

Key Memphis Grizzlies Injuries

01/27/19 G Garrett Temple Shoulder is out indefinitely
01/27/19 F JaMychal Green Knee is questionable Monday vs Denver
01/14/19 SF Kyle Anderson Ankle is out 2-4 weeks
01/09/19 G Dillon Brooks Leg is out for season
01/06/19 SF Chandler Parsons None is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Jamal Murray averages 18.5 points per game in 33.5 minutes per contest. He averages 4.9 assists per contest and 4.4 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 43% for the year while his free throw percentage is 84%. Nikola Jokic comes into this contest averaging 20.1 points per game while playing 31.2 minutes per night. He pulls down 10.4 rebounds per game and dishes out 7.7 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 51% while his free throw percentage is at 85%.

Player Spotlight

Mike Conley averages 20.0 points per game and he sees the court an average of 33.5 minutes per contest. He also averages 3.3 rebounds per contest and 6.2 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is 85%. Marc Gasol averages 15.4 points per game while playing 33.7 minutes per contest. He grabs 8.7 rebounds per game and has 4.7 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is at 76%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Nuggets allow 106.2 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 6th in the league. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 14th and 3rd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 41.6 rebounds a game which ranks 1st, and they give up 24.2 assists per contest which puts them in 15th place in the league. They force 12.9 turnovers per game which ranks them 8th in the league. Denver averages 112.0 points per contest this season, which ranks them 15th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 5.7 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 9th. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 10th in the league. They average 47.0 rebounds per game and 27.3 assists per contest, which ranks them 6th and 3rd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 24th with 13.0 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Grizzlies surrender 104.0 points per contest, which ranks them 2nd in the NBA. Their defense allows a 45% shooting percentage and a 37% average from 3-point range, ranking them 9th and 29th in those defensive statistics. They rank 6th with 23.0 assists allowed per contest, and 14th with 44.4 rebounds surrendered per game. The Grizzlies are 23rd in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 15.2 per game. Memphis is 30th in the league with 100.8 points per game this year. They are 20th in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is -3.3. They shoot 34% from 3-point range, which is good for 25th in the NBA. They are 30th in the league in rebounding with 39.9 boards per game and 20th in assists per contest with 23.5. The Grizzlies are 22nd in turnovers per game with 13.3.

Advanced Statistics

The Nuggets are 2nd in the league in defensive rating with 109.5, and their offensive rating of 115.4 is ranked 11th. They are 28th in the NBA in pace with 96.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 10th. As a unit they are 12th in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shot attempts, ranking 16th in the NBA. Denver is 27th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.8 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 16th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Memphis is 10th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.2 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 15th in the league. The Grizzlies are 28th in the NBA in offensive rating with 105.1, and their defensive rating of 108.5 is ranked 9th. In terms of pace they are 30th in the league with 95.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 25th. As a team they are 22nd in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 33% of their shots, ranking 20th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Nuggets/Grizzlies NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Memphis +5

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