Denver Nuggets at Houston Rockets Expert NBA Picks Against the Spread 3/28/2019

Thursday, March 28, 2019

Toyota Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Denver Nuggets travel to Toyota Center to play the Houston Rockets on Thursday, March 28, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has Houston as 6 point favorites.

The Nuggets have a record of 50-23. They are 1st in the Northwest Division. They have a point differential of 4.6 as they average 111.5 points per game while giving up 106.8 per contest. The Rockets have an overall mark of 47-28. They currently are 1st in the Southwest Division. They total 112.9 points per contest and give up 109.7, which is a point differential of 3.2.

Valuable Denver Nuggets Betting Trends

The Denver Nuggets are 38-35-0 against the spread

The Denver Nuggets are 31-42-0 against the over/under

Important Houston Rockets Betting Trends

The Houston Rockets are 34-38-3 against the spread

The Houston Rockets are 36-38-0 against the over/under

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

03/26/19 G Malik Beasley Personal is questionable Thursday vs Houston

Key Houston Rockets Injuries

03/26/19 F Kenneth Faried Knee is questionable Thursday vs Denver
03/26/19 G Gerald Green Groin is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Jamal Murray comes into this contest averaging 18.1 points per game while playing 32.9 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 4.2 rebounds per game and dishes out 4.8 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 43% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 85%. Nikola Jokic averages 20.3 points per game in 31.5 minutes per contest this season. He averages 7.5 assists per contest and 10.8 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 51% for the year while his free throw percentage is 83%.

Player Spotlight

James Harden averages 36.2 points per game while playing 37.2 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 6.5 rebounds per game and has 7.5 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is at 88%. Chris Paul averages 15.6 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 32.5 minutes per contest. He also averages 4.6 rebounds per contest and 8.2 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is 86%.

Useful Team Statistics

Denver averages 111.5 points per contest this season, which ranks them 18th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 4.6 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 11th. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 12th in the league. They average 46.8 rebounds per game and 27.6 assists per game, which ranks them 6th and 2nd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 24th with 13.6 per game. The Nuggets allow 106.8 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 6th in the league. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 15th and 3rd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 42.0 rebounds a game which ranks 1st and they give up 24.7 assists per contest, which puts them in 19th place in the league. They force 13.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 9th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Houston is 12th in the league with 112.9 points per game this year. They are 27th in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is 3.2. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 19th in the NBA. They are 28th in the league in rebounding with 41.8 boards per game, and 28th in assists per contest with 20.9. The Rockets are 22nd in turnovers per game with 13.7. The Rockets surrender 109.7 points per contest, which ranks them 11th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 47% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 23rd and 4th in those defensive statistics. They rank 9th with 23.5 assists allowed per contest and 17th with 45.3 rebounds surrendered per game. The Rockets are 21st in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 15.1 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Nuggets are 5th in the NBA in offensive rating with 113.6, and their defensive rating of 109 is ranked 10th. In terms of pace they are 26th in the league with 97.8 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 11th. As a team they are 14th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shots, ranking 15th in the league. Denver is 24th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.3 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 15th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Houston is 19th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.5 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 11th in the league. The Rockets are 2nd in the NBA in offensive rating with 114.6, and their defensive rating of 111.3 is ranked 20th. In terms of pace they are 27th in the league with 97.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 4th. As a team they are 4th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 52% of their shots, ranking 1st in the league.

Who will win tonight's Nuggets/Rockets NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Houston -6

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