Denver Nuggets at Detroit Pistons NBA Picks & Predictions 2/4/2019

Monday, February 4, 2019

Little Ceasars Arena

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Denver Nuggets travel to Little Ceasars Arena to play the Detroit Pistons on Monday, February 4, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has Denver as 4.5 point favorites.

The Nuggets have a record of 37-15. They are 1st in the Northwest Division. They have a point differential of 5.8 as they average 111.9 points per game while giving up 106.1 per contest. The Pistons have an overall mark of 22-29. They currently are 3rd in the Central Division. They total 105.5 points per contest and give up 108.3, which is a point differential of -2.8.

Valuable Denver Nuggets Betting Trends

The Denver Nuggets are 29-23-0 against the spread

The Denver Nuggets are 26-26-0 against the over/under

Important Detroit Pistons Betting Trends

The Detroit Pistons are 22-28-1 against the spread

The Detroit Pistons are 20-30-0 against the over/under

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

10/11/18 G Isaiah Thomas Hip is out indefinitely
02/02/19 G Gary Harris Groin is doubtful Monday vs Detroit
02/02/19 G Jamal Murray Ankle is questionable Monday vs Detroit

Key Detroit Pistons Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Jamal Murray comes into this contest averaging 18.5 points per game while playing 33.5 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 4.4 rebounds per game and dishes out 4.9 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 43% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 84%. Nikola Jokic averages 20.2 points per game in 31.4 minutes per contest this season. He averages 7.7 assists per contest and 10.5 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 51% for the year while his free throw percentage is 85%.

Player Spotlight

Blake Griffin averages 26.2 points per game while playing 36.6 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 8.2 rebounds per game and has 5.3 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 47% and his free throw percentage is at 76%. Andre Drummond averages 16.6 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 33.0 minutes per contest. He also averages 14.9 rebounds per contest and 1.2 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 51% and his free throw percentage is 54%.

Useful Team Statistics

Denver averages 111.9 points per contest this season, which ranks them 15th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 5.8 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 8th. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 11th in the league. They average 46.6 rebounds per game and 27.4 assists per game, which ranks them 7th and 3rd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 27th with 13.4 per game. The Nuggets allow 106.1 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 5th in the league. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 15th and 4th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 41.5 rebounds a game which ranks 1st and they give up 24.3 assists per contest, which puts them in 16th place in the league. They force 13.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 8th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Detroit is 25th in the league with 105.5 points per game this year. They are 29th in the league in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is -2.8. They shoot 33% from 3-point range, which is good for 30th in the NBA. They are 13th in the league in rebounding with 45.4 boards per game, and 26th in assists per contest with 22.1. The Pistons are 10th in turnovers per game with 14.8. The Pistons surrender 108.3 points per contest, which ranks them 9th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 47% shooting percentage and a 33% average from 3-point range, ranking them 24th and 1st in those defensive statistics. They rank 10th with 23.9 assists allowed per contest and 11th with 44.1 rebounds surrendered per game. The Pistons are 17th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.2 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Nuggets are 2nd in the league in defensive rating with 109, and their offensive rating of 114.9 is ranked 14th. They are 28th in the NBA in pace with 96.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 9th. As a unit they are 11th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shot attempts, ranking 16th in the NBA. Denver is 27th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.3 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 14th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Detroit is 11th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.9 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 13th in the NBA. The Pistons are 24th in the league in defensive rating with 108.6, and their offensive rating of 105.8 is ranked 10th. They are 22nd in the NBA in pace with 98.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 50% is 29th. As a unit they are 29th in the league in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shot attempts, ranking 8th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Nuggets/Pistons NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Detroit +4.5

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