Dallas Mavericks vs New York Knicks Expert NBA Picks 11/14/2019

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs New York Knicks

Date: Thursday, November 14, 2019

Location: Madison Square Garden in New York City, NY

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas -6.5

Total/Over-Under: 213.5

Madison Square Garden is the venue where Julius Randle and the New York Knicks (2-9, 5th in the Atlantic Division) will play the Dallas Mavericks (6-4, 2nd in the Southwest Division) on Thursday. The spread on this contest has Dallas as 6.5 point favorites. The O/U opens at 213.5.

The Mavericks are covering the spread 40.0% of the time, having gone 4-6-0 ATS. New York is covering the spread 45.5% of the time, going 5-6-0 against the spread.

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key New York Knicks Injuries

11/12/2019 Kadeem Allen SG Knee Game Time Decision
11/12/2019 Elfrid Payton PG Hamstring Game Time Decision
11/12/2019 Mitchell Robinson C Concussion Game Time Decision
11/9/2019 Reggie Bullock SG Back Expected to be out until at least Nov 20

Player Spotlight

Kristaps Porzingis comes into this game averaging 18.3 points per contest while playing 31.4 minutes per night this year. He grabs 7.9 rebounds per contest and distributes 1.7 assists per game. His FG percentage is 40% while his free throw percentage is 68%. Luka Doncic averages 28.3 points per contest in 34.8 minutes per game. He averages 9.1 assists per game and 10.3 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 49% for the season while his free throw percentage is 84%.

Player Spotlight

Julius Randle scores 15.6 points per contest while playing 33.7 minutes per game. He hauls in 9.6 rebounds per contest and has 3.8 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is at 63%. Marcus Morris averages 18.5 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 34.1 minutes per game. He also brings in 6.0 rebounds per game and has 1.2 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 41% and his free throw percentage is 81%.

Useful Team Statistics

Dallas averages 115.3 points per contest, which is 7th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 3.0 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a unit, which has them ranked 15th. From 3-point territory they shoot 35%, which is good for 16th in the NBA. They average 47.8 boards per contest and 24.0 assists per game, which ranks them 5th and 15th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 25th with 14.2 per game. The Mavericks allow 112.3 points per contest, which is 19th in the NBA. They also surrender a 46% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 23rd and 16th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 46.0 rebounds a game which ranks 14th, and they allow 24.1 assists per game which puts them in 17th place in the league. They force 13.3 turnovers per game which ranks them 3rd in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

New York is 29th in the NBA with 99.5 points per contest this season. They are 30th in the league in shooting at 42%, while their average scoring margin is -10.82. They shoot 36% from beyond the arc, which is good for 13th in the league. They are 16th in the NBA in rebounding with 45.9 boards per contest and 28th in assists per game with 20.3. The Knicks are 12th in turnovers per contest with 16.6. The Knicks give up 110.3 points per game, which ranks them 15th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 46% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 22nd and 20th in those defensive statistics. They rank 10th with 23.0 dimes allowed per game and 16th with 46.2 boards surrendered per contest. The Knicks are 14th in the league in forcing turnovers with 15.5 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Mavericks are 1st in the league in defensive rating with 110.5, and their offensive rating of 113.5 is ranked 21st. They are 21st in the NBA in pace with 100.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 9th. As a unit they are 8th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 44% of their shot attempts, ranking 3rd in the NBA. Dallas is 26th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.7 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 10th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

New York is 10th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.1 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 54%, which is 6th in the league. The Knicks are 30th in the NBA in offensive rating with 100.1, and their defensive rating of 111 is ranked 23rd. In terms of pace they are 26th in the league with 99.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 48% is 29th. As a team they are 29th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 51% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shots, ranking 23rd in the league.

Who will win tonight's Mavericks/Knicks NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Dallas -6.5

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