Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans Expert NBA Picks Against the Spread 10/25/2019

Friday, October 25, 2019

Smoothie King Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Dallas Mavericks travel to Smoothie King Center to play the New Orleans Pelicans on Friday, October 25, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has New Orleans as 2.5 point favorites.

The Mavericks come into this game after finishing last season with an overall record of 33-49. They were 5th in the Southwest Division. They had a point differential of -1.3 as they averaged 108.9 points per game while giving up 110.1 per contest. The Pelicans had an overall record of 33-49 last season. They were 4th in the Southwest Division. They averaged 115.4 points per game and surrendered 116.8, good for a point differential of -1.3.

Valuable Dallas Mavericks Betting Trends

The Dallas Mavericks were 46-35-1 against the spread last season

The Dallas Mavericks were 35-43-4 against the over/under last year

Important New Orleans Pelicans Betting Trends

The New Orleans Pelicans were 38-43-1 against the spread last season

The New Orleans Pelicans were 45-37-0 against the over/under last year

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

10/18/2019 Dorian Finney-Smith SF Hip Game Time Decision
10/18/2019 Seth Curry SG Knee Game Time Decision
10/18/2019 Dwight Powell PF Hamstring Game Time Decision
10/17/2019 Ryan Broekhoff SG Ankle Expected to be out until at least Oct 23

Key New Orleans Pelicans Injuries

10/18/2019 Zion Williamson SF Knee Expected to be out until at least Nov 6
8/29/2019 Darius Miller SF Achilles Expected to be out until at least Apr 1

Player Spotlight

Luka Doncic comes into this contest after averaging 21.2 points per game while playing 32.2 minutes per night last season. He pulled down 7.8 rebounds per game and dished out 6.0 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage was 43% while his free throw percentage finished at 71%. Justin Jackson averaged 7.2 points per game in 19.9 minutes per contest last season. He averaged 1.2 assists per contest and 2.6 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage was 45% for the year while his free throw percentage was 79%.

Player Spotlight

Lonzo Ball averaged 9.9 points per game while playing 30.3 minutes per contest last year. He grabbed 5.3 rebounds per game and had 5.4 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage was 41% and his free throw percentage was at 42%. Jrue Holiday averaged 21.2 points per game last season and he saw the court an average of 35.9 minutes per contest. He also averaged 5.0 rebounds per contest and 7.7 assists per game. His field goal percentage was 47% and his free throw percentage was 77%.

Useful Team Statistics

Dallas averaged 108.9 points per contest last season, which ranked them 21st in the NBA. Their average scoring margin was -1.3 and their shooting percentage was 45% as a team, which had them ranked 27th. Behind the arc they shot 34% which was good for 28th in the league. They averaged 45.3 rebounds per game and 23.4 assists per game, which ranked them 16th and 22nd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they ranked 11th with 14.2 per game. The Mavericks allowed 110.1 points per game to their opponents which ranked them 13th in the league. They also allowed a 46% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 16th and 7th in those defensive categories. Opponents averaged 44.8 rebounds a game which ranked 14th and they gave up 24.5 assists per contest, which put them in 14th place in the league. They forced 13.0 turnovers per game which ranked them 6th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

New Orleans was 3rd in the league with 115.4 points per game last year. They were 6th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin was -1.3. They shot 34% from 3-point range, which was good for 24th in the NBA. They were 5th in the league in rebounding with 47.3 boards per game, and 3rd in assists per contest with 27.0. The Pelicans were 7th in turnovers per game with 14.8. The Pelicans surrendered 116.8 points per contest, which ranked them 27th in the NBA. Their defense allowed a 47% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 20th and 25th in those defensive statistics. They ranked 29th with 26.5 assists allowed per contest and 20th with 45.8 rebounds surrendered per game. The Pelicans were 15th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.6 per game last season.

Advanced Statistics

The Mavericks were 20th in the NBA in offensive rating with 109.4, and their defensive rating of 110.7 was ranked 18th last season. In terms of pace they were 20th in the league with 99 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% was 19th. As a team they were 17th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shot 3 pointers on 42% of their shots, ranking 2nd in the league. Dallas was 10th in turnovers, as they turned the ball over an average of 12.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.6 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season was 52%, which was 15th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

New Orleans was 12th in the league in turnovers, as they turned the ball over an average of 12.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.6 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year was 53%, which was 10th in the NBA. The Pelicans were 12th in the league in defensive rating with 112.6, and their offensive rating of 111.4 was ranked 23rd. They were 3rd in the NBA in pace with 103.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% was 11th. As a unit they were 12th in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shot 3-pointers on 32% of their shot attempts, ranking 24th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Mavericks/Pelicans NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take New Orleans -2.5

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