Dallas Mavericks vs. Milwaukee Bucks - 12/16/19 NBA Picks, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks

Date: Monday, December 16, 2019

Location: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, WI

TV: NBA TV

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee -10

Total/Over-Under: 226

Khris Middleton and the Milwaukee Bucks (24-3, 1st in the Central Division) play the Dallas Mavericks (17-8, 1st in the Southwest Division) at Fiserv Forum on Monday, December 16, 2019. The spread on this game has Milwaukee as 10 point favorites. The O/U opens at 226.

The Mavericks cover the spread 60.0% of the time, having gone 15-10-0 ATS. Milwaukee covers the spread 55.6% of the time, going 15-12-0 against the spread.

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

12/14/2019 Luka Doncic SF Ankle Game Time Decision

Key Milwaukee Bucks Injuries

12/14/2019 Eric Bledsoe PG Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Dec 30
12/14/2019 Dragan Bender SF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Dec 16

Player Spotlight

Tim Hardaway comes into this contest averaging 13.3 points per game while playing 25.5 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 2.4 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.8 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 43% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 82%. Kristaps Porzingis averages 16.8 points per game in 30.6 minutes per contest this season. He averages 1.4 assists per contest and 8.9 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 40% for the year while his free throw percentage is 72%.

Player Spotlight

Khris Middleton averages 18.6 points per game while playing 27.7 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 5.4 rebounds per game and has 3.5 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 50% and his free throw percentage is at 90%. Giannis Antetokounmpo averages 31.0 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 31.1 minutes per contest. He also averages 12.8 rebounds per contest and 5.3 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 56% and his free throw percentage is 59%.

Useful Team Statistics

Dallas averages 118.1 points per contest this season, which ranks them 3rd in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 9.2 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 8th. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 11th in the league. They average 47.9 rebounds per game and 24.6 assists per game, which ranks them 3rd and 13th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 30th with 12.8 per game. The Mavericks allow 109.0 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 16th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 12th and 8th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 44.6 rebounds a game which ranks 10th and they give up 23.1 assists per contest, which puts them in 9th place in the league. They force 12.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 1st in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Milwaukee is 1st in the league with 121.2 points per game this year. They are 1st in the league in shooting at 49%, while their average scoring margin is 13.6. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 12th in the NBA. They are 1st in the league in rebounding with 51.3 boards per game, and 7th in assists per contest with 25.8. The Bucks are 18th in turnovers per game with 14.9. The Bucks surrender 107.6 points per contest, which ranks them 12th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 41% shooting percentage and a 37% average from 3-point range, ranking them 2nd and 22nd in those defensive statistics. They rank 16th with 24.1 assists allowed per contest and 18th with 45.9 rebounds surrendered per game. The Bucks are 16th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 15.2 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Mavericks are 1st in the NBA in offensive rating with 117.7, and their defensive rating of 108.6 is ranked 14th. In terms of pace they are 21st in the league with 99.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 3rd. As a team they are 3rd in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 45% of their shots, ranking 2nd in the league. Dallas is 30th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.1 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 19th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Milwaukee is 21st in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.9 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 49%, which is 29th in the NBA. The Bucks are 3rd in the league in defensive rating with 102, and their offensive rating of 114.8 is ranked 1st. They are 1st in the NBA in pace with 105.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 57% is 1st. As a unit they are 1st in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 43% of their shot attempts, ranking 3rd in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Mavericks/Bucks NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Dallas +10

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