Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets NBA Picks & Predictions 11/24/2019

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets

Date: Sunday, November 24, 2019

Location: Toyota Center in Houston, TX

TV: AT&T Sportsnet - Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Houston -6

Total/Over-Under: 232

Russell Westbrook and the Houston Rockets (11-5, 1st in the Southwest Division) host the Dallas Mavericks (10-5, 2nd in the Southwest Division) at Toyota Center on Sunday, November 24, 2019. Dallas opens this game as 6 point underdogs. The over/under is set at 232.

The Mavericks cover the spread 53.3% of the time, having gone 8-7-0 ATS. Houston is covering 50.0% of the time, going 8-8-0 against the spread.

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

11/22/2019 Seth Curry SG Illness Game Time Decision

Key Houston Rockets Injuries

11/22/2019 Jr SF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Nov 24
11/12/2019 Eric Gordon SG Knee Expected to be out until at least Dec 13
11/11/2019 Nene C Hip Expected to be out until at least Dec 1
10/28/2019 Gerald Green SG Foot Expected to be out until at least Apr 15

Player Spotlight

Luka Doncic comes into this contest averaging 29.9 points per game while playing 33.9 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 10.4 rebounds per game and dishes out 9.7 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 49% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 82%. Kristaps Porzingis averages 18.1 points per game in 31.1 minutes per contest this season. He averages 1.5 assists per contest and 8.9 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 41% for the year while his free throw percentage is 72%.

Player Spotlight

Russell Westbrook averages 21.9 points per game while playing 33.2 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 7.7 rebounds per game and has 6.9 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is at 69%. James Harden averages 38.3 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 37.1 minutes per contest. He also averages 5.9 rebounds per contest and 7.8 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is 87%.

Useful Team Statistics

Dallas averages 117.9 points per contest this season, which ranks them 4th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 8.8 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 8th. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 12th in the league. They average 47.8 rebounds per game and 25.1 assists per game, which ranks them 4th and 11th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 28th with 13.1 per game. The Mavericks allow 109.1 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 13th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 13th and 19th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 44.7 rebounds a game which ranks 11th and they give up 22.7 assists per contest, which puts them in 7th place in the league. They force 12.9 turnovers per game which ranks them 1st in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Houston is 3rd in the league with 117.9 points per game this year. They are 22nd in the league in shooting at 44%, while their average scoring margin is 4.3. They shoot 34% from 3-point range, which is good for 24th in the NBA. They are 8th in the league in rebounding with 46.9 boards per game, and 26th in assists per contest with 21.0. The Rockets are 14th in turnovers per game with 15.6. The Rockets surrender 113.7 points per contest, which ranks them 21st in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 17th and 13th in those defensive statistics. They rank 26th with 25.7 assists allowed per contest and 25th with 47.6 rebounds surrendered per game. The Rockets are 21st in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 16.3 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Mavericks are 1st in the league in defensive rating with 108.8, and their offensive rating of 117.6 is ranked 17th. They are 24th in the NBA in pace with 99.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 4th. As a unit they are 3rd in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 44% of their shot attempts, ranking 3rd in the NBA. Dallas is 29th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.4 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 17th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Houston is 20th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.7 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 13th in the league. The Rockets are 4th in the NBA in offensive rating with 112.1, and their defensive rating of 108.1 is ranked 15th. In terms of pace they are 2nd in the league with 105.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 11th. As a team they are 8th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 51% of their shots, ranking 1st in the league.

Who will win tonight's Mavericks/Rockets NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Houston -6

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