Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors - 12/28/19 NBA Picks, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors

Date: Saturday, December 28, 2019

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: NBC Sports Bay Area

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas -8

Total/Over-Under: 223

Kristaps Porzingis and the Dallas Mavericks (20-10, 2nd in the Southwest Division) go to Chase Center on Saturday where they'll meet the Golden State Warriors (8-24, 5th in the Pacific Division). Dallas opens this game as 8 point favorites. The over/under has been set at 223.

The Mavericks cover the spread 56.7% of the time, having gone 17-13-0 ATS. Golden State is covering 46.9% of the time, going 15-17-0 against the spread.

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

12/26/2019 Kristaps Porzingis PF Foot Game Time Decision

Key Golden State Warriors Injuries

12/26/2019 Kevon Looney PF Abdomen Expected to be out until at least Dec 31
12/25/2019 Eric Paschall PF Hip Game Time Decision
12/6/2019 Stephen Curry PG Hand Expected to be out until at least Feb 29
10/22/2019 Klay Thompson SG Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 1

Player Spotlight

Tim Hardaway averages 13.7 points per contest in 26.2 minutes per game this year. He averages 1.8 assists per game and 2.7 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 41% for the season while his free throw percentage is 80%. Kristaps Porzingis comes into this game averaging 17.4 points per contest while playing 31.4 minutes per night. He grabs 9.6 rebounds per contest and distributes 1.4 assists per game. His FG percentage is 40% while his free throw percentage is 72%.

Player Spotlight

Eric Paschall averages 14.7 points per game and he sees the court an average of 28.2 minutes per game. He also hauls in 4.7 rebounds per game and dishes 1.7 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 49% and his free throw percentage is 79%. Alec Burks scores 15.6 points per contest while playing 29.3 minutes per game. He hauls in 4.6 rebounds per contest and has 3.2 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is at 89%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Mavericks allow 108.5 points per contest which is 15th in the NBA. They also surrender a 44% shooting percentage and a 33% average from 3-point range, ranking them 11th and 3rd in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 45.5 rebounds a game which ranks 14th, and they allow 22.8 assists per game which puts them in 6th place in the league. They force 12.6 turnovers per game which ranks them 1st in the NBA. Dallas averages 116.7 points per contest, which is 4th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 8.2 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a unit, which has them ranked 11th. From 3-point territory they shoot 37%, which is good for 8th in the NBA. They average 48.2 boards per contest and 24.6 assists per game, which ranks them 3rd and 13th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 30th with 12.9 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Warriors give up 113.0 points per game, which ranks them 20th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 47% shooting percentage and a 39% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 25th and 30th in those defensive statistics. They rank 23rd with 24.9 dimes allowed per game and 17th with 45.9 boards surrendered per contest. The Warriors are 25th in the league in forcing turnovers with 16.0 per contest. Golden State is 25th in the NBA with 105.3 points per contest this season. They are 29th in the league in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is -7.8. They shoot 33% from beyond the arc, which is good for 28th in the league. They are 22nd in the NBA in rebounding with 44.0 boards per contest and 15th in assists per game with 24.0. The Warriors are 18th in turnovers per contest with 14.9.

Advanced Statistics

The Mavericks are 1st in the league in defensive rating with 108.2, and their offensive rating of 116.4 is ranked 14th. They are 19th in the NBA in pace with 99.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 3rd. As a unit they are 3rd in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 45% of their shot attempts, ranking 2nd in the NBA. Dallas is 30th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.1 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 21st in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Golden State is 17th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 55%, which is 6th in the NBA. The Warriors are 29th in the league in defensive rating with 112.1, and their offensive rating of 104.4 is ranked 23rd. They are 15th in the NBA in pace with 100.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 49% is 30th. As a unit they are 28th in the league in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 33% of their shot attempts, ranking 28th in the NBA.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Dallas -8 and over 223 total points

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