Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Expert NBA Picks 10/29/2019

Tuesday, October 29, 2019

Pepsi Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks (2-1, 2nd in the Southwest Division) travel to Pepsi Center on Tuesday where they'll meet the Denver Nuggets (2-0, 2nd in the Northwest Division). Denver opens this contest as 7.5 point favorites. The total opens at 216.

The Mavericks cover 33.3% of the time, having gone 1-2-0 ATS. Denver is covering 50.0% of the time, going 1-1-0 against the spread.

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

10/27/2019 Ryan Broekhoff SG Ankle Game Time Decision
10/26/2019 Dwight Powell PF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Oct 29

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Luka Doncic comes into this game averaging 29.3 points per contest while playing 36.3 minutes per night this year. He grabs 10.3 rebounds per contest and distributes 7.3 assists per game. His FG percentage is 50% while his free throw percentage is 79%. Justin Jackson averages 6.7 points per contest in 16.7 minutes per game. He averages 0.7 assists per game and 3.3 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 41% for the season while his free throw percentage is 83%.

Player Spotlight

Jamal Murray scores 20.5 points per contest while playing 37.0 minutes per game. He hauls in 6.0 rebounds per contest and has 4.5 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 36% and his free throw percentage is at 80%. Nikola Jokic averages 21.5 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 32.0 minutes per game. He also brings in 13.5 rebounds per game and has 7.0 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 50% and his free throw percentage is 73%.

Useful Team Statistics

Dallas averages 116.7 points per contest, which is 10th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 4.3 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a unit, which has them ranked 17th. From 3-point territory they shoot 30%, which is good for 26th in the NBA. They average 47.0 boards per contest and 22.3 assists per game, which ranks them 16th and 19th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 25th with 14.3 per game. The Mavericks allow 112.3 points per contest, which is 15th in the NBA. They also surrender a 46% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 19th and 15th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 47.7 rebounds a game which ranks 20th, and they allow 23.0 assists per game which puts them in 16th place in the league. They force 15.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 10th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Denver is 18th in the NBA with 108.0 points per contest this season. They are 25th in the league in shooting at 41%, while their average scoring margin is 4.5. They shoot 42% from beyond the arc, which is good for 1st in the league. They are 21st in the NBA in rebounding with 45.0 boards per contest and 18th in assists per game with 22.5. The Nuggets are 14th in turnovers per contest with 17.0. The Nuggets give up 103.5 points per game, which ranks them 9th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 41% shooting percentage and a 27% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 5th and 4th in those defensive statistics. They rank 5th with 19.0 dimes allowed per game and 25th with 51.0 boards surrendered per contest. The Nuggets are 24th in the league in forcing turnovers with 19.0 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Mavericks are 6th in the league in defensive rating with 107.2, and their offensive rating of 111.4 is ranked 16th. They are 12th in the NBA in pace with 104.8 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 15th. As a unit they are 10th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 48% of their shot attempts, ranking 3rd in the NBA. Dallas is 24th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.4 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 13th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Denver is 14th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 16.2 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 45%, which is 26th in the league. The Nuggets are 20th in the NBA in offensive rating with 103.6, and their defensive rating of 99.3 is ranked 7th. In terms of pace they are 26th in the league with 99.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 48% is 25th. As a team they are 22nd in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shots, ranking 21st in the league.

Who will win tonight's Mavericks/Nuggets NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Dallas +7.5

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