Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Expert NBA Picks 11/11/2019

Monday, November 11, 2019

TD Garden

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks (6-3, 2nd in the Southwest Division) go to TD Garden on Monday where they'll meet the Boston Celtics (7-1, 1st in the Atlantic Division). Boston opens this game as 3.5 point favorites. The over/under is set at 218.5.

The Mavericks are covering the spread 44.4% of the time, having gone 4-5-0 ATS. Boston is covering 71.4% of the time, going 5-2-1 against the spread.

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

11/9/2019 Kristaps Porzingis PF Rest Expected to be out until at least Nov 11

Key Boston Celtics Injuries

11/9/2019 Gordon Hayward SF Hand Expected to be out until at least Nov 15
11/8/2019 Enes Kanter C Knee Expected to be out until at least Nov 11

Player Spotlight

Luka Doncic comes into this game averaging 27.7 points per contest while playing 34.9 minutes per night this year. He grabs 10.8 rebounds per contest and distributes 9.1 assists per game. His FG percentage is 48% while his free throw percentage is 84%. Kristaps Porzingis averages 20.1 points per contest in 32.9 minutes per game. He averages 1.8 assists per game and 8.3 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 43% for the season while his free throw percentage is 68%.

Player Spotlight

Kemba Walker scores 24.5 points per contest while playing 33.8 minutes per game. He hauls in 5.1 rebounds per contest and has 4.5 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 40% and his free throw percentage is at 92%. Jayson Tatum averages 21.3 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 34.4 minutes per game. He also brings in 7.6 rebounds per game and has 2.1 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is 77%.

Useful Team Statistics

Dallas averages 116.3 points per contest, which is 6th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 4.4 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a unit, which has them ranked 13th. From 3-point territory they shoot 36%, which is good for 12th in the NBA. They average 48.0 boards per contest and 24.2 assists per game, which ranks them 5th and 12th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 21st with 14.9 per game. The Mavericks allow 111.9 points per contest, which is 20th in the NBA. They also surrender a 46% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 19th and 11th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 46.0 rebounds a game which ranks 15th, and they allow 24.0 assists per game which puts them in 19th place in the league. They force 13.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 3rd in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Boston is 11th in the NBA with 113.1 points per contest this season. They are 18th in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is 9.38. They shoot 35% from beyond the arc, which is good for 13th in the league. They are 10th in the NBA in rebounding with 46.5 boards per contest and 16th in assists per game with 23.8. The Celtics are 30th in turnovers per contest with 11.8. The Celtics give up 103.8 points per game, which ranks them 5th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 42% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 5th and 12th in those defensive statistics. They rank 8th with 21.4 dimes allowed per game and 30th with 51.0 boards surrendered per contest. The Celtics are 21st in the league in forcing turnovers with 17.1 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Mavericks are 1st in the NBA in offensive rating with 113.5, and their defensive rating of 109.2 is ranked 18th. In terms of pace they are 18th in the league with 101.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 7th. As a team they are 6th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 44% of their shots, ranking 3rd in the league. Dallas is 22nd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 13th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Boston is 30th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 10.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.8 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 48%, which is 25th in the NBA. The Celtics are 5th in the league in defensive rating with 101.7, and their offensive rating of 110.8 is ranked 5th. They are 17th in the NBA in pace with 102.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 17th. As a unit they are 13th in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shot attempts, ranking 12th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Mavericks/Celtics NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Dallas +3.5

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