Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat NBA Picks 3/28/2019

Thursday, March 28, 2019

American Airlines Arena

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Dallas Mavericks travel to American Airlines Arena to play the Miami Heat on Thursday, March 28, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has Miami as 9 point favorites.

The Mavericks have a record of 29-45. They are 5th in the Southwest Division. They have a point differential of -1.5 as they average 108.6 points per game while giving up 110.1 per contest. The Heat have an overall record of 36-38 this season. They are 2nd in the Southeast Division. They average 105.7 points per game and surrender 105.9, good for a point differential of -0.2.

Valuable Dallas Mavericks Betting Trends

The Dallas Mavericks are 41-32-1 against the spread

The Dallas Mavericks are 33-40-0 against the over/under

Important Miami Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat are 39-34-1 against the spread

The Miami Heat are 38-35-0 against the over/under

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

10/11/18 F Kristaps Porzingis Knee is out indefinitely
03/21/19 G Tim Hardaway Jr. Tibia is out for season
01/12/19 PG J.J. Barea Achilles is out for season

Key Miami Heat Injuries

03/26/19 SF Justise Winslow Thigh is questionable Thursday vs Dallas
03/26/19 G Rodney McGruder Knee is questionable Thursday vs Dallas

Player Spotlight

Luka Doncic averages 21.1 points per game in 32.2 minutes per contest. He averages 5.9 assists per contest and 7.6 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 43% for the year while his free throw percentage is 71%. Dwight Powell comes into this contest averaging 10.3 points per game while playing 21.0 minutes per night. He pulls down 5.1 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.4 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 60% while his free throw percentage is at 77%.

Player Spotlight

Josh Richardson averages 16.7 points per game and he sees the court an average of 35.0 minutes per contest. He also averages 3.6 rebounds per contest and 4.1 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 41% and his free throw percentage is 86%. Hassan Whiteside averages 12.3 points per game while playing 23.8 minutes per contest. He grabs 11.5 rebounds per game and has 0.8 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 56% and his free throw percentage is at 45%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Mavericks allow 110.1 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 12th in the league. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 17th and 9th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 44.4 rebounds a game which ranks 10th, and they give up 24.6 assists per contest which puts them in 16th place in the league. They force 13.2 turnovers per game which ranks them 7th in the league. Dallas averages 108.6 points per contest this season, which ranks them 21st in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -1.5 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team, which has them ranked 25th. Behind the arc they shoot 34% which is good for 27th in the league. They average 44.8 rebounds per game and 23.0 assists per contest, which ranks them 20th and 23rd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 9th with 14.5 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Heat surrender 105.9 points per contest, which ranks them 3rd in the NBA. Their defense allows a 44% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 2nd and 19th in those defensive statistics. They rank 6th with 23.2 assists allowed per contest, and 7th with 43.7 rebounds surrendered per game. The Heat are 18th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.1 per game. Miami is 26th in the league with 105.7 points per game this year. They are 21st in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is -0.2. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 14th in the NBA. They are 10th in the league in rebounding with 46.1 boards per game and 17th in assists per contest with 24.1. The Heat are 8th in turnovers per game with 14.7.

Advanced Statistics

The Mavericks are 20th in the NBA in offensive rating with 109.4, and their defensive rating of 110.9 is ranked 18th. In terms of pace they are 21st in the league with 98.8 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 19th. As a team they are 16th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shots, ranking 2nd in the league. Dallas is 10th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 14th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 6th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.8 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 22nd in the league. The Heat are 24th in the NBA in offensive rating with 107.7, and their defensive rating of 107.9 is ranked 8th. In terms of pace they are 24th in the league with 98 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 20th. As a team they are 28th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shots, ranking 13th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Mavericks/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Miami -9

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