Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors NBA Picks & Predictions 3/23/2019

Saturday, March 23, 2019

Oracle Arena

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Dallas Mavericks travel to Oracle Arena to play the Golden State Warriors on Saturday, March 23, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has Golden State as 16.5 point favorites.

The Mavericks have a record of 28-44. They are 5th in the Southwest Division. They have a point differential of -2.0 as they average 108.2 points per game while giving up 110.2 per contest. The Warriors have an overall mark of 49-22. They currently are 1st in the Pacific Division. They total 117.6 points per contest and give up 111.4, which is a point differential of 6.2.

Valuable Dallas Mavericks Betting Trends

The Dallas Mavericks are 40-30-1 against the spread

The Dallas Mavericks are 32-38-0 against the over/under

Important Golden State Warriors Betting Trends

The Golden State Warriors are 29-40-1 against the spread

The Golden State Warriors are 33-37-0 against the over/under

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

10/11/18 F Kristaps Porzingis Knee is out indefinitely
03/21/19 G Tim Hardaway Jr. Tibia is out for season
01/12/19 PG J.J. Barea Achilles is out for season

Key Golden State Warriors Injuries

12/02/18 C Damian Jones Shoulder is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Luka Doncic averages 21.0 points per game in 32.2 minutes per contest. He averages 5.7 assists per contest and 7.5 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 43% for the year while his free throw percentage is 71%. Dwight Powell comes into this contest averaging 10.2 points per game while playing 20.7 minutes per night. He pulls down 4.9 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.3 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 60% while his free throw percentage is at 76%.

Player Spotlight

Klay Thompson averages 22.4 points per game and he sees the court an average of 34.4 minutes per contest. He also averages 4.1 rebounds per contest and 2.5 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 47% and his free throw percentage is 82%. Stephen Curry averages 27.8 points per game while playing 34.3 minutes per contest. He grabs 5.3 rebounds per game and has 5.3 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 47% and his free throw percentage is at 91%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Mavericks allow 110.2 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 12th in the league. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 17th and 11th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 44.6 rebounds a game which ranks 12th, and they give up 24.6 assists per contest which puts them in 16th place in the league. They force 13.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 7th in the league. Dallas averages 108.2 points per contest this season, which ranks them 21st in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -2.0 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team, which has them ranked 27th. Behind the arc they shoot 34% which is good for 27th in the league. They average 44.8 rebounds per game and 22.8 assists per contest, which ranks them 19th and 24th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 8th with 14.6 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Warriors surrender 111.4 points per contest, which ranks them 16th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 3rd and 12th in those defensive statistics. They rank 11th with 24.1 assists allowed per contest, and 9th with 44.2 rebounds surrendered per game. The Warriors are 13th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.6 per game. Golden State is 1st in the league with 117.6 points per game this year. They are 1st in the league in shooting at 49%, while their average scoring margin is 6.2. They shoot 38% from 3-point range, which is good for 3rd in the NBA. They are 8th in the league in rebounding with 46.3 boards per game and 1st in assists per contest with 29.2. The Warriors are 15th in turnovers per game with 14.2.

Advanced Statistics

The Mavericks are 21st in the league in defensive rating with 110.8, and their offensive rating of 108.8 is ranked 18th. They are 21st in the NBA in pace with 99 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 20th. As a unit they are 18th in the league in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shot attempts, ranking 3rd in the NBA. Dallas is 10th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 14th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Golden State is 15th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.8 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 28th in the league. The Warriors are 1st in the NBA in offensive rating with 115.7, and their defensive rating of 109.7 is ranked 14th. In terms of pace they are 10th in the league with 101 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 56% is 1st. As a team they are 1st in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 9th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Mavericks/Warriors NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Golden State -16.5

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