Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Expert NBA Picks Against the Spread 11/20/2019

Game: Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat

Date: Wednesday, November 20, 2019

Location: American Airlines Arena in Miami, FL

TV: Fox Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -5.5

Total/Over-Under: 222

American Airlines Arena is the site where Goran Dragic and the Miami Heat (9-3, 1st in the Southeast Division) will play the Cleveland Cavaliers (4-9, 3rd in the Central Division) on Wednesday. The odds on this game have Miami as 5.5 point favorites. The over/under has been set at 222.

The Cavaliers cover the spread 50.0% of the time, having gone 6-6-1 ATS. Miami is covering 81.8% of the time, going 9-2-1 against the spread.

Key Cleveland Cavaliers Injuries

11/18/2019 Kevin Love PF Back Game Time Decision
11/18/2019 Jr PF Thumb Game Time Decision
11/14/2019 Dylan Windler SG Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Nov 22
11/14/2019 John Henson PF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Nov 22

Key Miami Heat Injuries

11/17/2019 Jr SF Hip Game Time Decision
11/17/2019 Goran Dragic PG Illness Game Time Decision
11/17/2019 Justise Winslow SF Concussion Game Time Decision
11/17/2019 KZ Okpala SF Achilles Game Time Decision

Player Spotlight

Collin Sexton comes into this contest averaging 17.9 points per game while playing 30.2 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 3.2 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.2 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 44% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 78%. Kevin Love averages 18.2 points per game in 32.7 minutes per contest this season. He averages 2.9 assists per contest and 12.1 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 44% for the year while his free throw percentage is 88%.

Player Spotlight

Goran Dragic averages 16.1 points per game while playing 28.4 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 3.4 rebounds per game and has 5.1 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is at 73%. Bam Adebayo averages 13.9 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 32.3 minutes per contest. He also averages 10.5 rebounds per contest and 4.6 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 59% and his free throw percentage is 62%.

Useful Team Statistics

Cleveland averages 104.5 points per contest this season, which ranks them 26th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -4.4 and their shooting percentage is 43% as a team, which has them ranked 26th. Behind the arc they shoot 33% which is good for 25th in the league. They average 44.9 rebounds per game and 19.5 assists per game, which ranks them 19th and 29th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 21st with 14.9 per game. The Cavaliers allow 108.8 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 13th in the league. They also allow a 47% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 24th and 10th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 45.8 rebounds a game which ranks 15th and they give up 25.3 assists per contest, which puts them in 24th place in the league. They force 14.2 turnovers per game which ranks them 5th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami is 14th in the league with 111.2 points per game this year. They are 1st in the league in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 7.2. They shoot 38% from 3-point range, which is good for 3rd in the NBA. They are 22nd in the league in rebounding with 44.3 boards per game, and 5th in assists per contest with 26.3. The Heat are 1st in turnovers per game with 18.8. The Heat surrender 104.0 points per contest, which ranks them 6th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 44% shooting percentage and a 30% average from 3-point range, ranking them 9th and 1st in those defensive statistics. They rank 17th with 24.2 assists allowed per contest and 3rd with 41.1 rebounds surrendered per game. The Heat are 29th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 18.4 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Cavaliers are 24th in the league in defensive rating with 109.2, and their offensive rating of 104.8 is ranked 17th. They are 24th in the NBA in pace with 99.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 49% is 26th. As a unit they are 26th in the league in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shot attempts, ranking 16th in the NBA. Cleveland is 18th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.8 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 10th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 1st in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 16 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 50%, which is 21st in the league. The Heat are 14th in the NBA in offensive rating with 107.9, and their defensive rating of 100.9 is ranked 3rd. In terms of pace they are 13th in the league with 102.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 1st. As a team they are 1st in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shots, ranking 13th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Cavaliers/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Miami -5.5

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