Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat NBA Game Picks 11/25/2019

Game: Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat

Date: Monday, November 25, 2019

Location: American Airlines Arena in Miami, FL

TV: Fox Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -10

Total/Over-Under: 217

Devonte' Graham and the Charlotte Hornets (6-11, 4th in the Southeast Division) go to American Airlines Arena on Monday where they'll take on the Miami Heat (11-4, 1st in the Southeast Division). Miami opens this contest as 10 point favorites. The total opens at 217.

The Hornets cover the spread 52.9% of the time, having gone 9-8-0 ATS. Miami is covering 78.6% of the time, going 11-3-1 against the spread.

Key Charlotte Hornets Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Miami Heat Injuries

11/23/2019 Justise Winslow SF Concussion Game Time Decision
11/23/2019 KZ Okpala SF Achilles Game Time Decision
11/23/2019 Jr SF Hip Game Time Decision

Player Spotlight

Devonte' Graham comes into this game averaging 18.2 points per contest while playing 33.0 minutes per night this year. He grabs 3.5 rebounds per contest and distributes 7.1 assists per game. His FG percentage is 42% while his free throw percentage is 79%. Terry Rozier averages 17.4 points per contest in 32.1 minutes per game. He averages 4.4 assists per game and 3.8 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 43% for the season while his free throw percentage is 85%.

Player Spotlight

Bam Adebayo scores 13.9 points per contest while playing 31.8 minutes per game. He hauls in 10.1 rebounds per contest and has 4.3 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 60% and his free throw percentage is at 63%. Goran Dragic averages 16.0 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 28.4 minutes per game. He also brings in 3.3 rebounds per game and has 5.0 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is 75%.

Useful Team Statistics

Charlotte averages 106.3 points per contest, which is 25th in the league. Their average scoring margin is -7.4 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a unit, which has them ranked 17th. From 3-point territory they shoot 37%, which is good for 8th in the NBA. They average 41.2 boards per contest and 23.6 assists per game, which ranks them 30th and 18th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 6th with 16.9 per game. The Hornets allow 113.7 points per contest, which is 21st in the NBA. They also surrender a 49% shooting percentage and a 37% average from 3-point range, ranking them 30th and 23rd in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 45.9 rebounds a game which ranks 17th, and they allow 27.4 assists per game which puts them in 30th place in the league. They force 16.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 24th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami is 15th in the NBA with 110.7 points per contest this season. They are 3rd in the league in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 6.07. They shoot 39% from beyond the arc, which is good for 4th in the league. They are 22nd in the NBA in rebounding with 43.9 boards per contest and 8th in assists per game with 25.7. The Heat are 1st in turnovers per contest with 19.1. The Heat give up 104.6 points per game, which ranks them 7th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 44% shooting percentage and a 31% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 9th and 1st in those defensive statistics. They rank 17th with 24.0 dimes allowed per game and 2nd with 40.8 boards surrendered per contest. The Heat are 29th in the league in forcing turnovers with 17.9 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Hornets are 23rd in the NBA in offensive rating with 105.7, and their defensive rating of 113.1 is ranked 26th. In terms of pace they are 22nd in the league with 99.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 12th. As a team they are 17th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 41% of their shots, ranking 7th in the league. Charlotte is 4th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.7 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 56%, which is 2nd in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 1st in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 15.7 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 20th in the NBA. The Heat are 13th in the league in defensive rating with 102.6, and their offensive rating of 108.6 is ranked 4th. They are 16th in the NBA in pace with 101.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 1st. As a unit they are 1st in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shot attempts, ranking 11th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Hornets/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Charlotte +10

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