Boston Celtics vs Sacramento Kings Expert NBA Picks 11/17/2019

Game: Boston Celtics vs Sacramento Kings

Date: Sunday, November 17, 2019

Location: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, CA

TV: NBC Sports California

Odds/Point Spread: Boston -4

Total/Over-Under: 217

Harrison Barnes and the Sacramento Kings (4-7, 4th in the Pacific Division) play the Boston Celtics (10-1, 1st in the Atlantic Division) at Golden 1 Center on Sunday, November 17, 2019. Boston opens this contest as 4 point favorites. The total opens at 217.

The Celtics are covering the spread 66.7% of the time, having gone 6-3-2 ATS. Sacramento is covering 54.5% of the time, going 6-5-0 against the spread.

Key Boston Celtics Injuries

11/15/2019 Romeo Langford SG Ankle Game Time Decision
11/11/2019 Gordon Hayward SF Hand Expected to be out until at least Dec 25

Key Sacramento Kings Injuries

11/15/2019 Trevor Ariza SG Groin Expected to be out until at least Nov 17
11/14/2019 Caleb Swanigan PF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Nov 17
11/12/2019 De'Aaron Fox PG Ankle Expected to be out until at least Dec 20
10/24/2019 III Marvin Bagley III PF Finger Expected to be out until at least Nov 22

Player Spotlight

Jayson Tatum comes into this game averaging 20.2 points per contest while playing 34.8 minutes per night this year. He grabs 7.3 rebounds per contest and distributes 2.4 assists per game. His FG percentage is 39% while his free throw percentage is 81%. Kemba Walker averages 24.5 points per contest in 33.9 minutes per game. He averages 4.6 assists per game and 5.1 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 41% for the season while his free throw percentage is 92%.

Player Spotlight

Harrison Barnes scores 15.0 points per contest while playing 33.9 minutes per game. He hauls in 5.4 rebounds per contest and has 2.1 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is at 76%. Buddy Hield averages 18.5 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 31.5 minutes per game. He also brings in 4.6 rebounds per game and has 1.6 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 41% and his free throw percentage is 89%.

Useful Team Statistics

Boston averages 115.1 points per contest, which is 8th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 8.8 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a unit, which has them ranked 18th. From 3-point territory they shoot 37%, which is good for 7th in the NBA. They average 46.3 boards per contest and 24.6 assists per game, which ranks them 15th and 12th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 30th with 11.7 per game. The Celtics allow 106.3 points per contest, which is 7th in the NBA. They also surrender a 43% shooting percentage and a 33% average from 3-point range, ranking them 6th and 6th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 49.5 rebounds a game which ranks 28th, and they allow 21.6 assists per game which puts them in 5th place in the league. They force 15.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 17th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Sacramento is 26th in the NBA with 104.8 points per contest this season. They are 22nd in the league in shooting at 44%, while their average scoring margin is -4.45. They shoot 38% from beyond the arc, which is good for 5th in the league. They are 27th in the NBA in rebounding with 42.2 boards per contest and 24th in assists per game with 21.7. The Kings are 10th in turnovers per contest with 16.5. The Kings give up 109.3 points per game, which ranks them 13th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 48% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 28th and 20th in those defensive statistics. They rank 11th with 23.2 dimes allowed per game and 3rd with 41.2 boards surrendered per contest. The Kings are 16th in the league in forcing turnovers with 15.5 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Celtics are 1st in the league in defensive rating with 104.5, and their offensive rating of 113.2 is ranked 8th. They are 16th in the NBA in pace with 101.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 11th. As a unit they are 9th in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shot attempts, ranking 13th in the NBA. Boston is 30th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 10.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.7 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 49%, which is 26th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Sacramento is 8th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.3 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 55%, which is 3rd in the NBA. The Kings are 18th in the league in defensive rating with 111.3, and their offensive rating of 106.7 is ranked 24th. They are 28th in the NBA in pace with 98.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 17th. As a unit they are 20th in the league in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 41% of their shot attempts, ranking 6th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Celtics/Kings NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Boston -4

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