Boston Celtics at Milwaukee Bucks Game 1 Point Spread Picks 4/28/2019

Sunday, April 28, 2019

Fiserv Forum

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Boston Celtics head to Fiserv Forum on Sunday where they'll take on Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals. Both teams are coming off first round sweeps, so rust may be a factor early in this one. Milwaukee opens as 6.5-point favorites. The over/under is 224. The Celtics (49-33, 3rd in the Atlantic Division) cover the spread 50% of the time, going 42-42-2 on the year. The Bucks (60-22, 1st in the Central Division) have an ATS mark of 51-31-4, so they cover the spread 62% of the time. As the favorite, Milwaukee is covering 61% of the time, while Boston has covered the spread 53% as an underdog on the year. The Bucks have been outstanding for basketball bettors at home, going 25-16-2 against the spread.

Valuable Boston Celtics Betting Trends

The Boston Celtics are 42-42-2 against the spread

The Boston Celtics are 47-37-0 against the over/under

Important Milwaukee Bucks Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Bucks are 51-32-3 against the spread

The Milwaukee Bucks are 44-42-0 against the over/under

Key Boston Celtics Injuries

04/10/19 PG Marcus Smart Oblique is out indefinitely

Key Milwaukee Bucks Injuries

03/27/19 G Donte DiVincenzo Foot is out for season
03/23/19 C Pau Gasol Ankle is out indefinitely
03/16/19 G Malcolm Brogdon Heel is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Jayson Tatum averages 15.7 points per game in 31.1 minutes per contest. He averages 2.1 assists per contest and 6.0 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 45% for the year while his free throw percentage is 86%. Kyrie Irving comes into this contest averaging 23.8 points per game while playing 33.0 minutes per night. He pulls down 5.0 rebounds per game and dishes out 6.9 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 49% while his free throw percentage is at 87%.

Player Spotlight

Khris Middleton averages 18.3 points per game and he sees the court an average of 31.1 minutes per contest. He also averages 6.0 rebounds per contest and 4.3 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is 84%. Giannis Antetokounmpo averages 27.7 points per game while playing 32.8 minutes per contest. He grabs 12.5 rebounds per game and has 5.9 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 58% and his free throw percentage is at 73%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Celtics allow 108.0 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 8th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 4th and 6th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 45.9 rebounds a game which ranks 22nd, and they give up 23.7 assists per contest which puts them in 8th place in the league. They force 15.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 24th in the league. Boston averages 112.4 points per contest this season, which ranks them 14th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 4.4 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 14th. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 7th in the league. They average 44.5 rebounds per game and 26.3 assists per contest, which ranks them 22nd and 5th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 28th with 12.8 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Bucks surrender 109.3 points per contest, which ranks them 11th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 43% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 1st and 22nd in those defensive statistics. They rank 19th with 24.8 assists allowed per contest, and 15th with 45.3 rebounds surrendered per game. The Bucks are 10th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.4 per game. Milwaukee is 1st in the league with 118.1 points per game this year. They are 3rd in the league in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 8.9. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 15th in the NBA. They are 1st in the league in rebounding with 49.7 boards per game and 7th in assists per contest with 26.0. The Bucks are 18th in turnovers per game with 13.9.

Advanced Statistics

The Celtics are 10th in the league in defensive rating with 107.8, and their offensive rating of 112.2 is ranked 7th. They are 16th in the NBA in pace with 99.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 6th. As a unit they are 10th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shot attempts, ranking 9th in the NBA. Boston is 26th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.4 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 22nd in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Milwaukee is 21st in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.5 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 50%, which is 30th in the NBA. The Bucks are 4th in the league in defensive rating with 105.2, and their offensive rating of 113.8 is ranked 1st. They are 2nd in the NBA in pace with 103.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 2nd. As a unit they are 2nd in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shot attempts, ranking 3rd in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Celtics/Bucks NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Milwaukee -6.5

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