Boston Celtics at Indiana Pacers Expert Game 4 Picks Against the Spread 4/21/2019

Sunday, April 21, 2019

Bankers Life Fieldhouse

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

Marcus Morris and the Boston Celtics visit Bankers Life Fieldhouse on Sunday where they'll take on the Indiana Pacers in Game 4 of their series. Boston leads the series 3-0 after winning Game 3 by a score of 104-96. The opening line for this matchup has Boston as 1 point favorites.

The Celtics (49-33, 3rd in the Atlantic Division) cover 49.4% of the time, going 41-42-2 against the spread this year. The Pacers (48-34, 2nd in the Central Division) have an ATS record of 40-44-1, so they cover the spread 47.6% of the time. As a favorite, Boston covers the spread 48.4% of the time, while Indiana has covered 51.1% as an underdog this season.

Valuable Boston Celtics Betting Trends

The Boston Celtics are 40-42-2 against the spread

The Boston Celtics are 46-36-0 against the over/under

Important Indiana Pacers Betting Trends

The Indiana Pacers are 40-43-1 against the spread

The Indiana Pacers are 34-49-0 against the over/under

Key Boston Celtics Injuries

04/10/19 PG Marcus Smart Oblique is out indefinitely

Key Indiana Pacers Injuries

01/24/19 G Victor Oladipo Knee is out for season

Player Spotlight

Marcus Morris comes into this contest averaging 13.9 points per game while playing 27.9 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 6.1 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.5 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 45% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 84%. Al Horford averages 13.6 points per game in 29.0 minutes per contest this season. He averages 4.2 assists per contest and 6.7 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 54% for the year while his free throw percentage is 82%.

Player Spotlight

Darren Collison averages 11.2 points per game while playing 28.2 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 3.1 rebounds per game and has 6.0 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 47% and his free throw percentage is at 83%. Wesley Matthews averages 12.2 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 30.3 minutes per contest. He also averages 2.5 rebounds per contest and 2.3 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 40% and his free throw percentage is 81%.

Useful Team Statistics

Boston averages 112.4 points per contest this season, which ranks them 14th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 4.4 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 14th. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 7th in the league. They average 44.5 rebounds per game and 26.3 assists per game, which ranks them 22nd and 5th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 28th with 12.8 per game. The Celtics allow 108.0 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 8th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 4th and 6th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 45.9 rebounds a game which ranks 22nd and they give up 23.7 assists per contest, which puts them in 8th place in the league. They force 15.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 24th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Indiana is 22nd in the league with 108.0 points per game this year. They are 4th in the league in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 3.3. They shoot 37% from 3-point range, which is good for 5th in the NBA. They are 24th in the league in rebounding with 43.0 boards per game, and 9th in assists per contest with 26.0. The Pacers are 21st in turnovers per game with 13.7. The Pacers surrender 104.7 points per contest, which ranks them 1st in the NBA. Their defense allows a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 6th and 14th in those defensive statistics. They rank 13th with 24.5 assists allowed per contest and 5th with 43.7 rebounds surrendered per game. The Pacers are 26th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 15.7 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Celtics are 10th in the league in defensive rating with 107.8, and their offensive rating of 112.2 is ranked 7th. They are 16th in the NBA in pace with 99.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 6th. As a unit they are 10th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shot attempts, ranking 9th in the NBA. Boston is 26th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.4 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 22nd in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Indiana is 16th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.1 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 18th in the league. The Pacers are 18th in the NBA in offensive rating with 109.9, and their defensive rating of 106.5 is ranked 3rd. In terms of pace they are 24th in the league with 98.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 10th. As a team they are 13th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 29% of their shots, ranking 29th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Celtics/Pacers NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Indiana +1

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