Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat - 12/10/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat

Date: Tuesday, December 10, 2019

Location: American Airlines Arena in Miami, FL

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -6.5

Total/Over-Under: 220

Jabari Parker and the Atlanta Hawks (6-17, 5th in the Southeast Division) head to American Airlines Arena on Tuesday where they'll meet the Miami Heat (17-6, 1st in the Southeast Division). The spread on this game has Miami as 6.5 point favorites. The total opens at 220.

The Hawks are covering the spread 47.8% of the time, having gone 11-12-0 ATS. Miami is covering 63.6% of the time, going 14-8-1 against the spread.

Key Atlanta Hawks Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Miami Heat Injuries

12/8/2019 Justise Winslow SF Back Expected to be out until at least Dec 10
12/7/2019 Goran Dragic PG Groin Expected to be out until at least Dec 10
12/6/2019 KZ Okpala SF Achilles Expected to be out until at least Dec 13

Player Spotlight

Trae Young averages 28.8 points per game in 34.6 minutes per contest. He averages 8.4 assists per contest and 4.1 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 46% for the year while his free throw percentage is 86%. Jabari Parker comes into this contest averaging 16.2 points per game while playing 28.0 minutes per night. He pulls down 6.3 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.9 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 50% while his free throw percentage is at 72%.

Player Spotlight

Bam Adebayo averages 14.6 points per game and he sees the court an average of 33.1 minutes per contest. He also averages 10.5 rebounds per contest and 4.1 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 58% and his free throw percentage is 66%. Jimmy Butler averages 20.6 points per game while playing 34.7 minutes per contest. He grabs 6.3 rebounds per game and has 6.8 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is at 84%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Hawks allow 117.3 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 28th in the league. They also allow a 47% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the arc, ranking them 23rd and 22nd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 45.2 rebounds a game which ranks 12th, and they give up 24.2 assists per contest which puts them in 17th place in the league. They force 16.6 turnovers per game which ranks them 25th in the league. Atlanta averages 108.7 points per contest this season, which ranks them 20th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -8.7 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a team, which has them ranked 14th. Behind the arc they shoot 32% which is good for 30th in the league. They average 42.0 rebounds per game and 23.5 assists per contest, which ranks them 27th and 19th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 2nd with 17.5 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Heat surrender 105.5 points per contest, which ranks them 7th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 44% shooting percentage and a 32% average from 3-point range, ranking them 6th and 2nd in those defensive statistics. They rank 13th with 23.6 assists allowed per contest, and 2nd with 40.9 rebounds surrendered per game. The Heat are 23rd in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 16.0 per game. Miami is 14th in the league with 111.0 points per game this year. They are 7th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 5.4. They shoot 38% from 3-point range, which is good for 4th in the NBA. They are 16th in the league in rebounding with 45.0 boards per game and 10th in assists per contest with 24.9. The Heat are 1st in turnovers per game with 18.0.

Advanced Statistics

The Hawks are 24th in the NBA in offensive rating with 105.6, and their defensive rating of 114 is ranked 26th. In terms of pace they are 11th in the league with 102 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 23rd. As a team they are 22nd in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shots, ranking 16th in the league. Atlanta is 2nd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.1 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 54%, which is 8th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 1st in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.2 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 50%, which is 22nd in the league. The Heat are 11th in the NBA in offensive rating with 109.9, and their defensive rating of 104.5 is ranked 7th. In terms of pace they are 19th in the league with 99.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 3rd. As a team they are 2nd in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 12th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Hawks/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Atlanta +6.5

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