Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets Expert NBA Picks Against the Spread 11/12/2019

Tuesday, November 12, 2019

Pepsi Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets (7-2, 1st in the Northwest Division) host the Atlanta Hawks (3-6, 3rd in the Southeast Division) at Pepsi Center on Tuesday, November 12, 2019. The spread on this contest has Denver as 5.5 point favorites. The over/under has been set at 220.

The Hawks are covering the spread 44.4% of the time, having gone 4-5-0 ATS. Denver is covering 37.5% of the time, going 3-5-1 against the spread.

Key Atlanta Hawks Injuries

11/9/2019 De'Andre Hunter SF Shoulder Game Time Decision
11/9/2019 Vince Carter SG Personal Expected to be out until at least Nov 12
11/9/2019 Evan Turner SG Achilles Expected to be out until at least Nov 12
11/9/2019 Chandler Parsons SF Knee Expected to be out until at least Nov 12

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

11/11/2019 Malik Beasley SG Illness Game Time Decision

Player Spotlight

Jabari Parker averages 17.6 points per contest in 26.8 minutes per game this year. He averages 1.3 assists per game and 5.7 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 57% for the season while his free throw percentage is 67%. Trae Young comes into this game averaging 26.3 points per contest while playing 32.5 minutes per night. He grabs 4.4 rebounds per contest and distributes 8.4 assists per game. His FG percentage is 44% while his free throw percentage is 82%.

Player Spotlight

Jamal Murray averages 18.8 points per game and he sees the court an average of 33.7 minutes per game. He also hauls in 5.0 rebounds per game and dishes 4.2 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is 85%. Nikola Jokic scores 16.7 points per contest while playing 31.2 minutes per game. He hauls in 9.3 rebounds per contest and has 6.0 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is at 73%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Hawks allow 108.9 points per contest which is 12th in the NBA. They also surrender a 44% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 12th and 8th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 45.0 rebounds a game which ranks 11th, and they allow 21.7 assists per game which puts them in 8th place in the league. They force 17.2 turnovers per game which ranks them 24th in the NBA. Atlanta averages 104.4 points per contest, which is 26th in the league. Their average scoring margin is -4.4 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a unit, which has them ranked 16th. From 3-point territory they shoot 29%, which is good for 29th in the NBA. They average 43.7 boards per contest and 22.7 assists per game, which ranks them 25th and 22nd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 7th with 17.7 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Nuggets give up 100.3 points per game, which ranks them 4th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 42% shooting percentage and a 31% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 6th and 4th in those defensive statistics. They rank 20th with 24.1 dimes allowed per game and 19th with 46.9 boards surrendered per contest. The Nuggets are 10th in the league in forcing turnovers with 15.3 per contest. Denver is 27th in the NBA with 103.3 points per contest this season. They are 26th in the league in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is 3.0. They shoot 36% from beyond the arc, which is good for 14th in the league. They are 16th in the NBA in rebounding with 46.1 boards per contest and 16th in assists per game with 24.0. The Nuggets are 20th in turnovers per contest with 15.1.

Advanced Statistics

The Hawks are 26th in the league in defensive rating with 106.8, and their offensive rating of 102.5 is ranked 15th. They are 22nd in the NBA in pace with 100.8 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 51% is 21st. As a unit they are 24th in the league in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shot attempts, ranking 16th in the NBA. Atlanta is 6th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.9 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 20th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Denver is 18th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.6 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 48%, which is 28th in the league. The Nuggets are 24th in the NBA in offensive rating with 103.6, and their defensive rating of 100.6 is ranked 4th. In terms of pace they are 29th in the league with 97.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 49% is 28th. As a team they are 27th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 52% and they shoot 3-pointers on 32% of their shots, ranking 28th in the league.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Denver +5.5 and under 220 total points

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