Atlanta Hawks at Miami Heat Expert NBA Picks 3/4/2019

Monday, March 4, 2019

American Airlines Arena

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Atlanta Hawks head to American Airlines Arena to take on the Miami Heat on Monday, March 4, 2019. The opening line for this game has Miami as 8.5 point favorites.

The Hawks have a record of 21-42. They are 5th in the Southeast Division. They have a point differential of -7.0 as they average 112.1 points per game while giving up 119.1 per contest. The Heat have an overall mark of 28-34. They currently are 3rd in the Southeast Division. They total 105.9 points per contest and give up 106.5, which is a point differential of -0.6.

Valuable Atlanta Hawks Betting Trends

The Atlanta Hawks are 29-34-0 against the spread this season

The Atlanta Hawks are 35-27-0 against the over/under this year

Important Miami Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat are 32-29-1 against the spread this season

The Miami Heat are 32-29-0 against the over/under this year

Key Atlanta Hawks Injuries

03/03/19 C Alex Len Knee is probable Sunday vs Chicago
03/03/19 G Kevin Huerter Back is probable Sunday vs Chicago
03/03/19 G Vince Carter Knee is probable Sunday vs Chicago
03/02/19 F John Collins Illness is downgraded to doubtful Sunday vs Chicago
03/02/19 F Omari Spellman Ankle left last game, is downgraded to out Sunday vs Chicago
03/02/19 SF Taurean Prince Personal is out Sunday vs Chicago

Key Miami Heat Injuries

03/02/19 PG Goran Dragic Calf is questionable Monday vs Atlanta
03/02/19 C Hassan Whiteside Hip is questionable Monday vs Atlanta

Player Spotlight

John Collins comes into this game averaging 19.5 points per contest while playing 30.0 minutes per night this year. He grabs 9.5 rebounds per contest and distributes 2.0 assists per game. His FG percentage is 57% while his free throw percentage is 77%. Trae Young averages 18.3 points per contest in 31.0 minutes per game. He averages 7.8 assists per game and 3.4 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 41% for the season while his free throw percentage is 82%.

Player Spotlight

Josh Richardson scores 17.4 points per contest while playing 34.9 minutes per game. He hauls in 3.6 rebounds per contest and has 4.0 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is at 86%. Justise Winslow averages 12.5 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 29.7 minutes per game. He also brings in 5.5 rebounds per game and has 4.3 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is 64%.

Useful Team Statistics

Atlanta averages 112.1 points per contest, which is 16th in the league. Their average scoring margin is -7.0 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a unit, which has them ranked 19th. From 3-point territory they shoot 35%, which is good for 18th in the NBA. They average 45.6 boards per contest and 25.5 assists per game, which ranks them 12th and 10th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 1st with 18.1 per game. The Hawks allow 119.1 points per contest, which is 30th in the NBA. They also surrender a 47% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 26th and 24th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 45.1 rebounds a game which ranks 18th, and they allow 27.3 assists per game which puts them in 30th place in the league. They force 15.2 turnovers per game which ranks them 22nd in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami is 27th in the NBA with 105.9 points per contest this season. They are 24th in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is -0.6. They shoot 35% from beyond the arc, which is good for 11th in the league. They are 8th in the NBA in rebounding with 46.3 boards per contest and 17th in assists per game with 24.1. The Heat are 7th in turnovers per contest with 15.1. The Heat give up 106.5 points per game, which ranks them 3rd in the league. Their defense surrenders a 45% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 3rd and 22nd in those defensive statistics. They rank 2nd with 22.8 dimes allowed per game and 6th with 43.5 boards surrendered per contest. The Heat are 14th in the league in forcing turnovers with 13.8 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Hawks are 25th in the NBA in offensive rating with 107, and their defensive rating of 113.7 is ranked 28th. In terms of pace they are 1st in the league with 103.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 16th. As a team they are 17th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 5th in the league. Atlanta is 1st in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 54%, which is 4th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 6th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.5 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 25th in the league. The Heat are 23rd in the NBA in offensive rating with 107.5, and their defensive rating of 108.1 is ranked 8th. In terms of pace they are 23rd in the league with 98.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 21st. As a team they are 27th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shots, ranking 11th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Hawks/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Atlanta +8.5

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