Toronto Raptors at Miami Heat NBA Picks & Predictions 4/11/2018

Wednesday, April 11, 2018

American Airlines Arena

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Toronto Raptors travel to American Airlines Arena to play the Miami Heat on Wednesday, April 11, 2018. The opening line for this matchup has Toronto as 4 point favorites.

The Raptors come into this game with an overall record of 59-22. They are 1st in the Atlantic Division. They currently have a point differential of 8.0 as they are averaging 111.7 points per game while giving up 103.7 per contest. The Heat have an overall mark of 43-38. They currently are 1st in the Southeast Division. They are averaging 103.3 points per contest and giving up 102.9, which is a point differential of 0.4.

Valuable Toronto Raptors Betting Trends

The Toronto Raptors are 43-37-1 against the spread

The Toronto Raptors are 40-40-1 against the over/under

Important Miami Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat are 39-36-6 against the spread

The Miami Heat are 36-42-3 against the over/under

Key Toronto Raptors Injuries

04/10/18 G Fred VanVleet Back is questionable Wednesday vs Miami

Key Miami Heat Injuries

01/12/18 G Dion Waiters Ankle is out for season

Player Spotlight

Kyle Lowry comes into this contest averaging 16.1 points per game while playing 32.1 minutes per night so far this season for the Raptors. He pulls down 5.5 rebounds per game and dishes out 6.9 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 43% while his free throw percentage is currently at 86%. DeMar DeRozan averages 23.1 points per game in 33.8 minutes per contest this season. He averages 5.2 assists per contest and 3.9 rebounds per game for Toronto. His field goal percentage is 46% for the year while his free throw percentage is 83%.

Player Spotlight

Goran Dragic averages 17.3 points per game while playing 31.7 minutes per contest this year for the Heat. He grabs 4.1 rebounds per game and has 4.8 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage currently is at 80%. Josh Richardson averages 13 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 33.2 minutes per contest. He also averages 3.5 rebounds per contest and 2.8 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is 84%.

Useful Team Statistics

Toronto averages 111.7 points per contest this season, which ranks them 3rd in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 7.96 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 7th. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 18th in the league. They average 44 rebounds per game and 24.3 assists per game, which ranks them 14th and 6th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 26th with 13.3 per game. The Raptors allow 103.7 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 6th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 6th and 11th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 42.2 rebounds a game which ranks 7th and they give up 21.7 assists per contest, which puts them in 8th place in the league. They force 14.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 20th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami is 24th in the league with 103.3 points per game this year. They are 17th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is 0.4. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 17th in the NBA. They are 19th in the league in rebounding with 43.3 boards per game, and 18th in assists per contest with 22.7. The Heat are 15th in turnovers per game with 14.4. The Heat surrender 102.9 points per contest, which ranks them 4th in the NBA. Their defense is allowing a 45% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 5th and 14th in those defensive statistics. They rank 3rd with 20.9 assists allowed per contest and 15th with 43 rebounds surrendered per game. The Heat are 13th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.1 per game this season.

Advanced Statistics

The Raptors are 3rd in the league in defensive rating with 105.8, and their offensive rating of 113.9 is ranked 26th. They are 14th in the NBA in pace with 97.4 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 5th. As a unit they are 4th in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shot attempts, ranking 5th in the NBA. Toronto is 27th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.1 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 50%, which is 28th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 10th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.1 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 24th in the NBA. The Heat are 22nd in the league in defensive rating with 106.3, and their offensive rating of 106.7 is ranked 24th. They are 27th in the NBA in pace with 95.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 14th. As a unit they are 16th in the league in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shot attempts, ranking 7th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Raptors/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto -4

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn