Sacramento Kings at Miami Heat NBA Picks & Predictions 1/25/2018

Thursday, January 25, 2018

American Airlines Arena

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Sacramento Kings travel to American Airlines Arena to play the Miami Heat on Thursday, January 25, 2018. The opening line for this matchup has Miami as 10 point favorites.

The Kings come into this game with an overall record of 14-33. They are 5th in the Pacific Division. They currently have a point differential of -8.8 as they are averaging 98.0 points per game while giving up 106.8 per contest. The Heat have an overall mark of 27-20. They currently are 1st in the Southeast Division. They are averaging 100.9 points per contest and giving up 101.8, which is a point differential of -0.9.

Valuable Sacramento Kings Betting Trends

The Sacramento Kings are 19-25-3 against the spread

The Sacramento Kings are 25-22-0 against the over/under

Important Miami Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat are 22-23-2 against the spread

The Miami Heat are 19-26-2 against the over/under

Key Sacramento Kings Injuries

10/18/17 F Harry Giles Knee is out for season
01/23/18 PG De'Aaron Fox Abdominal left last game, is upgraded to probable Thursday vs Miami
01/23/18 F Zach Randolph Knee is "?" Thursday vs Miami
01/02/18 PG Frank Mason Heel is out indefinitely

Key Miami Heat Injuries

01/24/18 PG Goran Dragic Knee is "?" Thursday vs Sacramento
01/22/18 G Tyler Johnson Ankle is "?" Thursday vs Sacramento
01/12/18 G Dion Waiters Ankle is out for season

Player Spotlight

Willie Cauley-Stein averages 12.5 points per game in 27.2 minutes per contest this season. He averages 2.2 assists per contest and 6.8 rebounds per game for Sacramento. His field goal percentage is 50% for the year while his free throw percentage is 63%. Zach Randolph comes into this contest averaging 14.5 points per game while playing 25.1 minutes per night so far this season for the Kings. He pulls down 6.8 rebounds per game and dishes out 2 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 49% while his free throw percentage is currently at 79%.

Player Spotlight

Goran Dragic averages 17.3 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 32.1 minutes per contest. He also averages 4.2 rebounds per contest and 4.9 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is 76%. Hassan Whiteside averages 14.7 points per game while playing 26.1 minutes per contest this year for the Heat. He grabs 11.8 rebounds per game and has 0.8 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 57% and his free throw percentage currently is at 73%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Kings allow 106.8 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 19th in the league. They also allow a 48% shooting percentage and a 38% average from behind the arc, ranking them 30th and 29th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 43.6 rebounds a game which ranks 17th, and they give up 24.1 assists per contest which puts them in 24th place in the league. They force 15 turnovers per game which ranks them 20th in the league. Sacramento averages 98 points per contest this season, which ranks them 30th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -8.77 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team, which has them ranked 23rd. Behind the arc they shoot 38% which is good for 3rd in the league. They average 40.3 rebounds per game and 20.9 assists per game, which ranks them 29th and 27th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 15th with 14.5 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Heat surrender 101.8 points per contest, which ranks them 4th in the NBA. Their defense is allowing a 45% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 10th and 15th in those defensive statistics. They rank 3rd with 20.1 assists allowed per contest, and 7th with 41.9 rebounds surrendered per game. The Heat are 4th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.6 per game this season. Miami is 27th in the league with 100.9 points per game this year. They are 14th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is -0.87. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 14th in the NBA. They are 21st in the league in rebounding with 42 boards per game and 22nd in assists per contest with 21.8. The Heat are 11th in turnovers per game with 15.

Advanced Statistics

The Kings are 30th in the league in defensive rating with 112.1, and their offensive rating of 102.9 is ranked 3rd. They are 27th in the NBA in pace with 95.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 50% is 28th. As a unit they are 30th in the league in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 27% of their shot attempts, ranking 28th in the NBA. Sacramento is 13th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.1 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 55%, which is 1st in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 3rd in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.8 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 23rd in the league. The Heat are 24th in the NBA in offensive rating with 106, and their defensive rating of 106.9 is ranked 21st. In terms of pace they are 28th in the league with 94.8 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 9th. As a team they are 11th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shots, ranking 6th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Kings/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Sacramento +10

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