Sacramento Kings at Denver Nuggets NBA Picks & Predictions 3/11/2018

Sunday, March 11, 2018

Pepsi Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Sacramento Kings travel to Pepsi Center to play the Denver Nuggets on Sunday, March 11, 2018. The opening line for this matchup has Denver as 5 point favorites.

The Kings head into this matchup with a mark of 21-45. They are 4th in the Pacific Division. They currently have a point differential of -7.6 as they are averaging 99.2 points per contest while giving up 106.8 per game. The Nuggets have an overall record of 36-30. They currently are 4th in the Northwest Division. They are averaging 108.9 points per game and surrendering 107.9, good for a point differential of 1.0.

Valuable Sacramento Kings Betting Trends

The Sacramento Kings are 29-33-4 against the spread

The Sacramento Kings are 35-30-1 against the over/under

Important Denver Nuggets Betting Trends

The Denver Nuggets are 30-33-3 against the spread

The Denver Nuggets are 33-33-0 against the over/under

Key Sacramento Kings Injuries

03/09/18 G De'Aaron Fox Back is "?" Sunday vs Denver
03/09/18 F Skal Labissiere Hip left last game, is "?" Sunday vs Denver
03/09/18 C Willie Cauley-Stein Back is "?" Sunday vs Denver
02/11/18 G Iman Shumpert Plantar Fasciitis is out indefinitely

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

03/09/18 F Wilson Chandler Hip is "?" Sunday vs Sacramento

Player Spotlight

De'Aaron Fox averages 11.4 points per game in 27.2 minutes per contest this season. He averages 4.2 assists per contest and 2.6 rebounds per game for Sacramento. His field goal percentage is 41% for the year while his free throw percentage is 74%. Buddy Hield comes into this contest averaging 12.6 points per game while playing 24.5 minutes per night so far this season for the Kings. He pulls down 3.7 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.6 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 43% while his free throw percentage is currently at 89%.

Player Spotlight

Nikola Jokic averages 17.1 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 31.5 minutes per contest. He also averages 10.4 rebounds per contest and 6 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 49% and his free throw percentage is 84%. Gary Harris averages 17.8 points per game while playing 35 minutes per contest this year for the Nuggets. He grabs 2.7 rebounds per game and has 3 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 49% and his free throw percentage currently is at 83%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Kings allow 106.8 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 16th in the league. They also allow a 47% shooting percentage and a 38% average from behind the arc, ranking them 28th and 30th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 43.8 rebounds a game which ranks 20th, and they give up 24.1 assists per contest which puts them in 21st place in the league. They force 14.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 21st in the league. Sacramento averages 99.2 points per contest this season, which ranks them 29th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -7.68 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team, which has them ranked 20th. Behind the arc they shoot 38% which is good for 2nd in the league. They average 40.5 rebounds per game and 21.3 assists per game, which ranks them 29th and 27th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 18th with 14.1 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Nuggets surrender 107.9 points per contest, which ranks them 21st in the NBA. Their defense is allowing a 48% shooting percentage and a 38% average from 3-point range, ranking them 30th and 28th in those defensive statistics. They rank 25th with 24.5 assists allowed per contest, and 1st with 41 rebounds surrendered per game. The Nuggets are 13th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.3 per game this season. Denver is 8th in the league with 108.9 points per game this year. They are 9th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 0.97. They shoot 37% from 3-point range, which is good for 9th in the NBA. They are 10th in the league in rebounding with 44.1 boards per game and 5th in assists per contest with 24.7. The Nuggets are 7th in turnovers per game with 15.3.

Advanced Statistics

The Kings are 30th in the NBA in offensive rating with 103.9, and their defensive rating of 112 is ranked 2nd. In terms of pace they are 28th in the league with 95.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 26th. As a team they are 30th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 28% of their shots, ranking 28th in the league. Sacramento is 17th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.8 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 55%, which is 1st in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Denver is 6th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.2 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 54%, which is 2nd in the NBA. The Nuggets are 6th in the league in defensive rating with 110.7, and their offensive rating of 111.7 is ranked 6th. They are 15th in the NBA in pace with 97 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 6th. As a unit they are 8th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shot attempts, ranking 10th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Kings/Nuggets NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Sacramento +5

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