Phoenix Suns at Miami Heat NBA Picks & Predictions 3/5/2018

Monday, March 5, 2018

American Airlines Arena

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Phoenix Suns travel to American Airlines Arena to play the Miami Heat on Monday, March 5, 2018. The opening line for this matchup has Miami as 10 point favorites.

The Suns come into this game with an overall record of 19-45. They are 5th in the Pacific Division. They currently have a point differential of -8.6 as they are averaging 104.6 points per game while giving up 113.2 per contest. The Heat have an overall record of 33-30. They currently are 2nd in the Southeast Division. They are averaging 101.4 points per game and surrendering 102.0, good for a point differential of -0.6.

Valuable Phoenix Suns Betting Trends

The Phoenix Suns are 29-32-3 against the spread

The Phoenix Suns are 31-33-0 against the over/under

Important Miami Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat are 31-28-4 against the spread

The Miami Heat are 27-34-2 against the over/under

Key Phoenix Suns Injuries

10/14/17 PG Brandon Knight Knee is out for season
03/03/18 C Tyson Chandler Neck is doubtful Sunday vs Atlanta
01/31/18 G Isaiah Canaan Foot is out for season

Key Miami Heat Injuries

03/03/18 C Bam Adebayo Personal is "?" Monday vs Phoenix
03/03/18 G Tyler Johnson Quad is "?" Monday vs Phoenix
03/03/18 G Wayne Ellington Quad is "?" Monday vs Phoenix
01/12/18 G Dion Waiters Ankle is out for season

Player Spotlight

T.J. Warren averages 19.5 points per game in 32.8 minutes per contest this season. He averages 1.4 assists per contest and 5.1 rebounds per game for Phoenix. His field goal percentage is 50% for the year while his free throw percentage is 75%. Devin Booker comes into this contest averaging 25.2 points per game while playing 34.6 minutes per night so far this season for the Suns. He pulls down 4.6 rebounds per game and dishes out 4.8 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 43% while his free throw percentage is currently at 89%.

Player Spotlight

Hassan Whiteside averages 13.9 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 25.9 minutes per contest. He also averages 12 rebounds per contest and 0.9 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 54% and his free throw percentage is 69%. Goran Dragic averages 17.4 points per game while playing 31.9 minutes per contest this year for the Heat. He grabs 4.1 rebounds per game and has 4.9 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage currently is at 77%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Suns allow 113.2 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 30th in the league. They also allow a 47% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the arc, ranking them 24th and 20th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 45.6 rebounds a game which ranks 28th, and they give up 22.7 assists per contest which puts them in 11th place in the league. They force 13.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 4th in the league. Phoenix averages 104.6 points per contest this season, which ranks them 19th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -8.59 and their shooting percentage is 44% as a team, which has them ranked 28th. Behind the arc they shoot 33% which is good for 30th in the league. They average 44.2 rebounds per game and 21 assists per game, which ranks them 10th and 29th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 5th with 15.5 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Heat surrender 102 points per contest, which ranks them 4th in the NBA. Their defense is allowing a 45% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 7th and 10th in those defensive statistics. They rank 3rd with 20.4 assists allowed per contest, and 9th with 42.2 rebounds surrendered per game. The Heat are 7th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.8 per game this season. Miami is 28th in the league with 101.4 points per game this year. They are 18th in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is -0.56. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 18th in the NBA. They are 20th in the league in rebounding with 42.9 boards per game and 22nd in assists per contest with 21.9. The Heat are 12th in turnovers per game with 14.7.

Advanced Statistics

The Suns are 28th in the league in defensive rating with 112.9, and their offensive rating of 104.3 is ranked 1st. They are 4th in the NBA in pace with 100 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 49% is 30th. As a unit they are 28th in the league in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 32% of their shot attempts, ranking 21st in the NBA. Phoenix is 10th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.9 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 9th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 6th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 24th in the league. The Heat are 24th in the NBA in offensive rating with 106, and their defensive rating of 106.6 is ranked 24th. In terms of pace they are 27th in the league with 95.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 16th. As a team they are 17th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shots, ranking 7th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Suns/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Miami -10

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