Philadelphia 76ers at Miami Heat NBA Picks & Predictions 4/21/2018

Saturday, April 21, 2018

American Airlines Arena

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Philadelphia 76ers travel to American Airlines Arena to play the Miami Heat on Saturday, April 21, 2018 in Game 4 of their 1st round series. The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia as 3 point favorites.

The 76ers had a regular season record of 52-30. They were 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They currently had a point differential of 4.5 as they averaged 109.8 points per game while giving up 105.3 per contest. The Heat had an overall mark of 44-38. They finished 1st in the Southeast Division. They totaled 103.4 points per contest and gave up 102.9, which is a point differential of 0.5.

Valuable Philadelphia 76ers Betting Trends

The Philadelphia 76ers are 50-35-0 against the spread

The Philadelphia 76ers are 43-41-0 against the over/under

Important Miami Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat are 42-39-4 against the spread

The Miami Heat are 39-43-0 against the over/under

Key Philadelphia 76ers Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Miami Heat Injuries

01/12/18 G Dion Waiters Ankle is out for season

Player Spotlight

J.J. Redick averages 17.1 points per game in 30.2 minutes per contest this season. He averages 3 assists per contest and 2.5 rebounds per game for Philadelphia. His field goal percentage is 46% for the year while his free throw percentage is 90%. Ben Simmons comes into this contest averaging 15.8 points per game while playing 33.7 minutes per night so far this season for the 76ers. He pulls down 8.1 rebounds per game and dishes out 8.2 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 55% while his free throw percentage is currently at 56%.

Player Spotlight

Josh Richardson averages 12.9 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 33.2 minutes per contest. He also averages 3.5 rebounds per contest and 2.9 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is 85%. Goran Dragic averages 17.3 points per game while playing 31.7 minutes per contest this year for the Heat. He grabs 4.1 rebounds per game and has 4.8 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage currently is at 80%.

Useful Team Statistics

The 76ers allow 105.3 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 11th in the league. They also allow a 43% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 1st and 2nd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 42.2 rebounds a game which ranks 6th, and they give up 21.7 assists per contest which puts them in 6th place in the league. They force 14.3 turnovers per game which ranks them 17th in the league. Philadelphia averages 109.8 points per contest this season, which ranks them 7th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 4.5 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 7th. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 10th in the league. They average 47.4 rebounds per game and 27.1 assists per game, which ranks them 1st and 2nd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 1st with 16.5 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Heat surrender 102.9 points per contest, which ranks them 4th in the NBA. Their defense is allowing a 45% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 7th and 13th in those defensive statistics. They rank 3rd with 21 assists allowed per contest, and 15th with 43.1 rebounds surrendered per game. The Heat are 12th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.1 per game this season. Miami is 24th in the league with 103.4 points per game this year. They are 17th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is 0.48. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 17th in the NBA. They are 19th in the league in rebounding with 43.5 boards per game and 18th in assists per contest with 22.7. The Heat are 15th in turnovers per game with 14.4.

Advanced Statistics

The 76ers are 12th in the NBA in offensive rating with 109.5, and their defensive rating of 105 is ranked 27th. In terms of pace they are 4th in the league with 99.8 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 7th. As a team they are 8th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shots, ranking 13th in the league. Philadelphia is 1st in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.6 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 49%, which is 30th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 10th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.1 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 23rd in the NBA. The Heat are 22nd in the league in defensive rating with 106.3, and their offensive rating of 106.8 is ranked 24th. They are 27th in the NBA in pace with 95.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 14th. As a unit they are 16th in the league in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shot attempts, ranking 7th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Philadelphia -3

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