Orlando Magic at Miami Heat NBA Picks & Predictions 12/4/2018

Tuesday, December 4, 2018

American Airlines Arena

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Orlando Magic travel to American Airlines Arena to play the Miami Heat on Tuesday, December 4, 2018. The opening line for this matchup has Miami as 1.5 point favorites.

The Magic head into this matchup with a mark of 11-12. They are 2nd in the Southeast Division. They have a point differential of -2.3 as they average 105.8 points per contest while giving up 108.1 per game. The Heat have an overall mark of 9-13. They currently are 3rd in the Southeast Division. They total 108.2 points per contest and give up 109.6, which is a point differential of -1.4.

Valuable Orlando Magic Betting Trends

The Orlando Magic are 14-8-1 against the spread

The Orlando Magic are 9-14-0 against the over/under

Important Miami Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat are 9-12-0 against the spread

The Miami Heat are 13-8-0 against the over/under

Key Orlando Magic Injuries

11/30/18 C Timofey Mozgov Knee is out indefinitely
11/07/18 F Jonathan Isaac Ankle is out indefinitely

Key Miami Heat Injuries

12/03/18 G Rodney McGruder Ankle left last game, is questionable Tuesday vs Orlando
12/02/18 G Tyler Johnson Hamstring is questionable Tuesday vs Orlando
11/19/18 PG Goran Dragic Knee is out indefinitely
10/11/18 G Dion Waiters Ankle is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Aaron Gordon comes into this contest averaging 16.1 points per game while playing 32.2 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 7.2 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.6 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 49% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 70%. Nikola Vucevic averages 21.0 points per game in 30.8 minutes per contest this season. He averages 3.8 assists per contest and 11.3 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 55% for the year while his free throw percentage is 84%.

Player Spotlight

Josh Richardson averages 20.3 points per game while playing 35.2 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 4.0 rebounds per game and has 3.2 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is at 84%. Hassan Whiteside averages 13.6 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 27.0 minutes per contest. He also averages 13.9 rebounds per contest and 0.8 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 51% and his free throw percentage is 48%.

Useful Team Statistics

Orlando averages 105.8 points per contest this season, which ranks them 25th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -2.3 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a team, which has them ranked 19th. Behind the arc they shoot 35% which is good for 17th in the league. They average 42.2 rebounds per game and 26.2 assists per game, which ranks them 24th and 6th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 27th with 12.9 per game. The Magic allow 108.1 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 7th in the league. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 17th and 21st in those defensive categories. Opponents average 46.3 rebounds a game which ranks 22nd and they give up 23.1 assists per contest, which puts them in 11th place in the league. They force 14.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 15th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami is 22nd in the league with 108.2 points per game this year. They are 30th in the league in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is -1.4. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 7th in the NBA. They are 7th in the league in rebounding with 47.6 boards per game, and 25th in assists per contest with 21.9. The Heat are 8th in turnovers per game with 15.1. The Heat surrender 109.6 points per contest, which ranks them 11th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 45% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 7th and 16th in those defensive statistics. They rank 4th with 21.6 assists allowed per contest and 21st with 46.1 rebounds surrendered per game. The Heat are 11th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.9 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Magic are 24th in the NBA in offensive rating with 107.5, and their defensive rating of 109.8 is ranked 16th. In terms of pace they are 23rd in the league with 98.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 20th. As a team they are 21st in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shots, ranking 16th in the league. Orlando is 24th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 13th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 9th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.2 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 23rd in the NBA. The Heat are 25th in the league in defensive rating with 108.6, and their offensive rating of 107.2 is ranked 12th. They are 10th in the NBA in pace with 100.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 50% is 27th. As a unit they are 29th in the league in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shot attempts, ranking 10th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Magic/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Miami -1.5

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