Milwaukee Bucks at Boston Celtics NBA Picks & Predictions 4/28/2018

Saturday, April 28, 2018

TD Garden

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Milwaukee Bucks head to TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Saturday, April 28, 2018 in Game 7 of their 1st round series. The series is tied 3-3. The opening line for this game has Boston as 4.5 point favorites.

The Bucks had a regular season record of 44-38. They were 3rd in the Central Division. They currently had a point differential of -0.3 as they averaged 106.5 points per game while giving up 106.8 per contest. The Celtics had an overall record of 55-27 during the regular season. They finished the campaign 2nd in the Atlantic Division. They averaged 104.0 points per game and surrendered 100.4, good for a point differential of 3.6.

Valuable Milwaukee Bucks Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Bucks are 37-46-5 against the spread

The Milwaukee Bucks are 50-36-0 against the over/under

Important Boston Celtics Betting Trends

The Boston Celtics are 52-32-4 against the spread

The Boston Celtics are 46-41-0 against the over/under

Key Milwaukee Bucks Injuries

04/26/18 F John Henson Back is questionable Thursday vs Boston

Key Boston Celtics Injuries

10/17/17 SF Gordon Hayward Ankle is out indefinitely
04/27/18 F Marcus Morris Thigh is probable Saturday vs Milwaukee
04/05/18 G Kyrie Irving Knee is out for season
03/12/18 F Daniel Theis Knee is out for season

Player Spotlight

Khris Middleton averages 20.1 points per contest in 36.4 minutes per game this year. He averages 4 assists per game and 5.2 rebounds per contest for Milwaukee. His field goal percentage is 47% for the season while his free throw percentage is 88%. Giannis Antetokounmpo comes into this game averaging 26.9 points per contest while playing 36.7 minutes per night so far this year. He grabs 10 rebounds per contest and distributes 4.8 assists per game. His FG percentage is 53% while his free throw percentage is 76%.

Player Spotlight

Jayson Tatum averages 13.9 points per game this year and he's on the court an average of 30.5 minutes per game. He also brings in 5 rebounds per game and 1.6 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is 83%. Al Horford has scored 12.9 points per contest while playing 31.6 minutes per game this season for the Celtics. He hauls in 7.4 rebounds per contest and has 4.7 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 49% and his free throw percentage is at 78%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Bucks allow 106.8 points per contest which is 16th in the NBA. They also surrender a 47% shooting percentage and a 37% average from 3-point range, ranking them 22nd and 25th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 42.7 rebounds a game which ranks 12th, and they allow 23.6 assists per game which puts them in 18th place in the league. They force 15.6 turnovers per game which ranks them 29th in the NBA. Milwaukee averages 106.5 points per contest this year, which is 15th in the league. Their average scoring margin is -0.3 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a unit, which has them ranked 3rd. From 3-point territory they shoot 36%, which is good for 22nd in the NBA. They average 39.8 boards per contest and 23.2 assists per game, which ranks them 30th and 14th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 20th with 13.8 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Celtics give up 100.4 points per game, which ranks them 3rd in the league. Their defense is surrendering a 44% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 2nd and 1st in those defensive statistics. They rank 4th with 21.3 dimes allowed per game and 21st with 43.8 boards surrendered per contest. The Celtics are 10th in the league in forcing turnovers with 14.1 per contest this year. Boston is 20th in the NBA with 104 points per contest this season. They are 21st in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is 3.59. They shoot 38% from beyond the arc, which is good for 2nd in the league. They are 7th in the NBA in rebounding with 44.5 boards per contest and 20th in assists per game with 22.5. The Celtics are 16th in turnovers per contest with 14.

Advanced Statistics

The Bucks are 9th in the league in defensive rating with 110.1, and their offensive rating of 109.8 is ranked 12th. They are 20th in the NBA in pace with 96.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 8th. As a unit they are 6th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 30% of their shot attempts, ranking 25th in the NBA. Milwaukee is 17th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.2 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 11th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Boston is 16th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 50%, which is 29th in the NBA. The Celtics are 18th in the league in defensive rating with 103.9, and their offensive rating of 107.6 is ranked 29th. They are 22nd in the NBA in pace with 96 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 15th. As a unit they are 14th in the league in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shot attempts, ranking 8th in the NBA.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Milwaukee +4.5 and over 196.5 total points

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