Miami Heat at Philadelphia 76ers NBA Picks & Predictions 4/24/2018

Tuesday, April 24, 2018

Wells Fargo Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Miami Heat travel to Wells Fargo Center to play the Philadelphia 76ers on Tuesday, April 24, 2018 in Game 5 of their 1st round series. The 76ers lead the series 3-1. The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia as 10 point favorites.

The Heat had a regular season record of 44-38. They were 1st in the Southeast Division. They currently had a point differential of 0.5 as they averaged 103.4 points per game while giving up 102.9 per contest. The 76ers had an overall mark of 52-30. They finished 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They totaled 109.8 points per contest and gave up 105.3, which is a point differential of 4.5.

Valuable Miami Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat are 42-40-4 against the spread

The Miami Heat are 39-44-0 against the over/under

Important Philadelphia 76ers Betting Trends

The Philadelphia 76ers are 51-35-0 against the spread

The Philadelphia 76ers are 43-42-0 against the over/under

Key Miami Heat Injuries

04/22/18 G Josh Richardson Ankle injured last game, is probable Tuesday vs Philadelphia
01/12/18 G Dion Waiters Ankle is out for season

Key Philadelphia 76ers Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Goran Dragic comes into this contest averaging 17.3 points per game while playing 31.7 minutes per night so far this season for the Heat. He pulls down 4.1 rebounds per game and dishes out 4.8 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 45% while his free throw percentage is currently at 80%. Justise Winslow averages 7.8 points per game in 24.7 minutes per contest this season. He averages 2.2 assists per contest and 5.4 rebounds per game for Miami. His field goal percentage is 42% for the year while his free throw percentage is 64%.

Player Spotlight

Ben Simmons averages 15.8 points per game while playing 33.7 minutes per contest this year for the 76ers. He grabs 8.1 rebounds per game and has 8.2 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 55% and his free throw percentage currently is at 56%. J.J. Redick averages 17.1 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 30.2 minutes per contest. He also averages 2.5 rebounds per contest and 3 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is 90%.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 103.4 points per contest this season, which ranks them 24th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 0.48 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a team, which has them ranked 17th. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 17th in the league. They average 43.5 rebounds per game and 22.7 assists per game, which ranks them 19th and 18th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 15th with 14.4 per game. The Heat allow 102.9 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 4th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 7th and 13th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 43.1 rebounds a game which ranks 15th and they give up 21 assists per contest, which puts them in 3rd place in the league. They force 14.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 12th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Philadelphia is 7th in the league with 109.8 points per game this year. They are 7th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 4.5. They shoot 37% from 3-point range, which is good for 10th in the NBA. They are 1st in the league in rebounding with 47.4 boards per game, and 2nd in assists per contest with 27.1. The 76ers are 1st in turnovers per game with 16.5. The 76ers surrender 105.3 points per contest, which ranks them 11th in the NBA. Their defense is allowing a 43% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 1st and 2nd in those defensive statistics. They rank 6th with 21.7 assists allowed per contest and 6th with 42.2 rebounds surrendered per game. The 76ers are 17th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.3 per game this season.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 22nd in the NBA in offensive rating with 106.8, and their defensive rating of 106.3 is ranked 24th. In terms of pace they are 27th in the league with 95.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 14th. As a team they are 16th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shots, ranking 7th in the league. Miami is 10th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.1 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 23rd in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Philadelphia is 1st in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.6 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 49%, which is 30th in the NBA. The 76ers are 12th in the league in defensive rating with 105, and their offensive rating of 109.5 is ranked 27th. They are 4th in the NBA in pace with 99.8 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 7th. As a unit they are 8th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shot attempts, ranking 13th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Miami +10

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