Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers NBA Picks & Predictions 11/16/2018

Friday, November 16, 2018

Bankers Life Fieldhouse

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Miami Heat travel to Bankers Life Fieldhouse to play the Indiana Pacers on Friday, November 16, 2018. The opening line for this matchup has Indiana as 4.5 point favorites.

The Heat have a record of 6-8. They are 3rd in the Southeast Division. They have a point differential of 0.2 as they average 111.5 points per game while giving up 111.3 per contest. The Pacers have an overall record of 8-6 this season. They are 2nd in the Central Division. They average 105.7 points per game and surrender 103.0, good for a point differential of 2.7.

Valuable Miami Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat are 6-8-0 against the spread

The Miami Heat are 11-3-0 against the over/under

Important Indiana Pacers Betting Trends

The Indiana Pacers are 6-7-1 against the spread

The Indiana Pacers are 6-8-0 against the over/under

Key Miami Heat Injuries

11/12/18 G Dwyane Wade Personal is out indefinitely
11/10/18 F James Johnson Hernia is out indefinitely
10/11/18 G Dion Waiters Ankle is out indefinitely

Key Indiana Pacers Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Josh Richardson comes into this contest averaging 20.1 points per game while playing 35.1 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 3.9 rebounds per game and dishes out 3.4 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 42% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 87%. Goran Dragic averages 17.1 points per game in 30.5 minutes per contest this season. He averages 4.8 assists per contest and 3.5 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 42% for the year while his free throw percentage is 78%.

Player Spotlight

Bojan Bogdanovic averages 14.1 points per game while playing 30.5 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 3.7 rebounds per game and has 1.3 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 51% and his free throw percentage is at 76%. Victor Oladipo averages 23.8 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 34.5 minutes per contest. He also averages 7.1 rebounds per contest and 4.9 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is 70%.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 111.5 points per contest this season, which ranks them 12th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 0.2 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team, which has them ranked 21st. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 7th in the league. They average 47.4 rebounds per game and 22.7 assists per game, which ranks them 6th and 19th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 4th with 16.1 per game. The Heat allow 111.3 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 18th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the arc, ranking them 8th and 24th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 44.6 rebounds a game which ranks 15th and they give up 21.8 assists per contest, which puts them in 4th place in the league. They force 13.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 7th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Indiana is 23rd in the league with 105.7 points per game this year. They are 4th in the league in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 2.7. They shoot 37% from 3-point range, which is good for 9th in the NBA. They are 29th in the league in rebounding with 40.3 boards per game, and 23rd in assists per contest with 22.2. The Pacers are 24th in turnovers per game with 13.5. The Pacers surrender 103.0 points per contest, which ranks them 3rd in the NBA. Their defense allows a 44% shooting percentage and a 37% average from 3-point range, ranking them 6th and 27th in those defensive statistics. They rank 9th with 22.4 assists allowed per contest and 5th with 41.5 rebounds surrendered per game. The Pacers are 23rd in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 15.7 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 14th in the NBA in offensive rating with 109.4, and their defensive rating of 109.2 is ranked 14th. In terms of pace they are 12th in the league with 101.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 18th. As a team they are 16th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shots, ranking 14th in the league. Miami is 6th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.6 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 23rd in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Indiana is 16th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.5 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 17th in the NBA. The Pacers are 13th in the league in defensive rating with 106.6, and their offensive rating of 109.4 is ranked 5th. They are 27th in the NBA in pace with 96.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 6th. As a unit they are 10th in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 29% of their shot attempts, ranking 27th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Indiana -4.5

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