Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons NBA Picks & Predictions 11/5/2018

Monday, November 5, 2018

Little Ceasars Arena

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Miami Heat travel to Little Ceasars Arena to play the Detroit Pistons on Monday, November 5, 2018. The opening line for this matchup has Detroit as 1 point favorites.

The Heat head into this matchup with a mark of 3-5. They are 2nd in the Southeast Division. They have a point differential of 0.3 as they average 112.5 points per contest while giving up 112.3 per game. The Pistons have an overall mark of 4-4. They currently are 3rd in the Central Division. They total 109.5 points per contest and give up 112.1, which is a point differential of -2.6.

Valuable Miami Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat are 3-4-0 against the spread

The Miami Heat are 5-2-0 against the over/under

Important Detroit Pistons Betting Trends

The Detroit Pistons are 3-4-0 against the spread

The Detroit Pistons are 4-3-0 against the over/under

Key Miami Heat Injuries

11/04/18 PG Goran Dragic Foot is questionable Monday vs Detroit
11/03/18 F James Johnson Hernia is questionable Monday vs Detroit
10/11/18 G Dion Waiters Ankle is out indefinitely

Key Detroit Pistons Injuries

11/02/18 SF Reggie Bullock Ankle is questionable Monday vs Miami
10/25/18 G Luke Kennard Shoulder is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Goran Dragic comes into this contest averaging 17.7 points per game while playing 31.7 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 3.4 rebounds per game and dishes out 5.0 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 42% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 81%. Josh Richardson averages 20.8 points per game in 34.6 minutes per contest this season. He averages 2.8 assists per contest and 4.0 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 43% for the year while his free throw percentage is 90%.

Player Spotlight

Blake Griffin averages 28.6 points per game while playing 36.5 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 10.9 rebounds per game and has 4.5 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 50% and his free throw percentage is at 74%. Reggie Jackson averages 15.3 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 30.0 minutes per contest. He also averages 2.8 rebounds per contest and 3.4 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 34% and his free throw percentage is 82%.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 112.5 points per contest this season, which ranks them 13th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 0.3 and their shooting percentage is 44% as a team, which has them ranked 24th. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 12th in the league. They average 48.8 rebounds per game and 22.4 assists per game, which ranks them 5th and 22nd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 8th with 15.1 per game. The Heat allow 112.3 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 19th in the league. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 38% average from behind the arc, ranking them 14th and 23rd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 42.6 rebounds a game which ranks 7th and they give up 23.0 assists per contest, which puts them in 13th place in the league. They force 12.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 5th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Detroit is 20th in the league with 109.5 points per game this year. They are 27th in the league in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is -2.6. They shoot 31% from 3-point range, which is good for 28th in the NBA. They are 7th in the league in rebounding with 48.1 boards per game, and 30th in assists per contest with 18.8. The Pistons are 19th in turnovers per game with 14.0. The Pistons surrender 112.1 points per contest, which ranks them 17th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 32% average from 3-point range, ranking them 16th and 3rd in those defensive statistics. They rank 23rd with 25.1 assists allowed per contest and 13th with 44.8 rebounds surrendered per game. The Pistons are 10th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.5 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 14th in the league in defensive rating with 110.6, and their offensive rating of 110.8 is ranked 17th. They are 12th in the NBA in pace with 101.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 51% is 20th. As a unit they are 22nd in the league in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shot attempts, ranking 9th in the NBA. Miami is 11th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 17th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Detroit is 21st in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.9 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 18th in the NBA. The Pistons are 25th in the league in defensive rating with 108.6, and their offensive rating of 106.1 is ranked 12th. They are 16th in the NBA in pace with 100.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 48% is 29th. As a unit they are 29th in the league in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shot attempts, ranking 15th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Detroit -1

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