Miami Heat at Dallas Mavericks NBA Picks & Predictions 1/29/2018

Monday, January 29, 2018

American Airlines Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Miami Heat travel to American Airlines Center to play the Dallas Mavericks on Monday, January 29, 2018. The opening line for this matchup has Dallas as 1 point favorites.

The Heat come into this game with an overall record of 28-21. They are 1st in the Southeast Division. They currently have a point differential of -0.7 as they are averaging 100.6 points per game while giving up 101.3 per contest. The Mavericks have an overall mark of 16-34. They currently are 5th in the Southwest Division. They are averaging 102.0 points per contest and giving up 103.9, which is a point differential of -1.9.

Valuable Miami Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat are 22-24-3 against the spread

The Miami Heat are 19-28-2 against the over/under

Important Dallas Mavericks Betting Trends

The Dallas Mavericks are 25-24-1 against the spread

The Dallas Mavericks are 21-29-0 against the over/under

Key Miami Heat Injuries

01/12/18 G Dion Waiters Ankle is out for season

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

12/06/17 F Nerlens Noel Thumb is out indefinitely
11/14/17 F Dorian Finney-Smith Knee is out indefinitely
10/07/17 G Seth Curry Stress Fracture is out indefinitely
01/27/18 PG Jose Juan Barea Oblique is "?" Monday vs Miami
01/25/18 PG Devin Harris Concussion is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Hassan Whiteside comes into this contest averaging 14.2 points per game while playing 25.9 minutes per night so far this season for the Heat. He pulls down 11.8 rebounds per game and dishes out 0.8 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 56% while his free throw percentage is currently at 74%. Goran Dragic averages 17.1 points per game in 31.9 minutes per contest this season. He averages 4.8 assists per contest and 4.1 rebounds per game for Miami. His field goal percentage is 44% for the year while his free throw percentage is 76%.

Player Spotlight

Dennis Smith averages 14.7 points per game while playing 28.6 minutes per contest this year for the Mavericks. He grabs 3.9 rebounds per game and has 4.7 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 40% and his free throw percentage currently is at 70%. Harrison Barnes averages 18.4 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 34.8 minutes per contest. He also averages 6.8 rebounds per contest and 2 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is 83%.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 100.6 points per contest this season, which ranks them 27th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -0.78 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a team, which has them ranked 17th. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 16th in the league. They average 42.3 rebounds per game and 21.8 assists per game, which ranks them 20th and 23rd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 11th with 15 per game. The Heat allow 101.3 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 3rd in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 9th and 13th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 41.9 rebounds a game which ranks 7th and they give up 19.9 assists per contest, which puts them in 2nd place in the league. They force 13.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 4th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Dallas is 25th in the league with 102 points per game this year. They are 24th in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is -1.96. They shoot 37% from 3-point range, which is good for 11th in the NBA. They are 27th in the league in rebounding with 40.6 boards per game, and 18th in assists per contest with 22.2. The Mavericks are 30th in turnovers per game with 12.2. The Mavericks surrender 103.9 points per contest, which ranks them 10th in the NBA. Their defense is allowing a 46% shooting percentage and a 37% average from 3-point range, ranking them 18th and 19th in those defensive statistics. They rank 12th with 22.4 assists allowed per contest and 27th with 45.6 rebounds surrendered per game. The Mavericks are 9th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14 per game this season.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 25th in the league in defensive rating with 106.4, and their offensive rating of 105.6 is ranked 25th. They are 28th in the NBA in pace with 94.8 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 12th. As a unit they are 14th in the league in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shot attempts, ranking 6th in the NBA. Miami is 2nd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.7 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 24th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Dallas is 29th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.2 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 10th in the NBA. The Mavericks are 18th in the league in defensive rating with 108.7, and their offensive rating of 106.7 is ranked 15th. They are 25th in the NBA in pace with 95.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 15th. As a unit they are 20th in the league in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shot attempts, ranking 4th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Mavericks NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Miami +1

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