Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors NBA Picks & Predictions 5/22/2018

Tuesday, May 22, 2018

Oracle Arena

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Houston Rockets head to Oracle Arena to take on the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday, May 22, 2018 in Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals. The Warriors lead the series 2-1 after blowing out Houston 126-85 in Game 3. The opening line for this game has Golden State as 8.5 point favorites.

The Rockets had a regular season record of 65-17. They were 1st in the Southwest Division. They had a point differential of 8.5 as they averaged 112.4 points per game while giving up 103.9 per contest. The Warriors had an overall mark of 58-24. They finished 1st in the Pacific Division. They totaled 113.5 points per contest and gave up 107.5, which is a point differential of 6.0.

Valuable Houston Rockets Betting Trends

The Houston Rockets are 48-45-2 against the spread

The Houston Rockets are 40-53-0 against the over/under

Important Golden State Warriors Betting Trends

The Golden State Warriors are 40-52-3 against the spread

The Golden State Warriors are 46-48-0 against the over/under

Key Houston Rockets Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Golden State Warriors Injuries

05/08/18 G Patrick McCaw Back is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

James Harden comes into this game averaging 30.4 points per contest while playing 35.4 minutes per night so far this year. He grabs 5.4 rebounds per contest and distributes 8.8 assists per game. His FG percentage is 45% while his free throw percentage is 86%. Eric Gordon averages 18 points per contest in 31.2 minutes per game this year. He averages 2.2 assists per game and 2.5 rebounds per contest for Houston. His field goal percentage is 43% for the season while his free throw percentage is 81%.

Player Spotlight

Klay Thompson has scored 20 points per contest while playing 34.3 minutes per game this season for the Warriors. He hauls in 3.8 rebounds per contest and has 2.5 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 49% and his free throw percentage is at 84%. Draymond Green averages 11 points per game this year and he's on the court an average of 32.7 minutes per game. He also brings in 7.6 rebounds per game and 7.3 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is 78%.

Useful Team Statistics

Houston averages 112.4 points per contest this year, which is 2nd in the league. Their average scoring margin is 8.48 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a unit, which has them ranked 15th. From 3-point territory they shoot 36%, which is good for 13th in the NBA. They average 43.5 boards per contest and 21.5 assists per game, which ranks them 18th and 26th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 19th with 13.8 per game. The Rockets allow 103.9 points per contest which is 7th in the NBA. They also surrender a 46% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 15th and 7th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 42 rebounds a game which ranks 4th, and they allow 22.4 assists per game which puts them in 11th place in the league. They force 14.6 turnovers per game which ranks them 21st in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Golden State is 1st in the NBA with 113.5 points per contest this season. They are 1st in the league in shooting at 50%, while their average scoring margin is 5.98. They shoot 39% from beyond the arc, which is good for 1st in the league. They are 17th in the NBA in rebounding with 43.5 boards per contest and 1st in assists per game with 29.3. The Warriors are 5th in turnovers per contest with 15.5. The Warriors give up 107.5 points per game, which ranks them 18th in the league. Their defense is surrendering a 45% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 3rd and 10th in those defensive statistics. They rank 16th with 23.6 dimes allowed per game and 8th with 42.5 boards surrendered per contest. The Warriors are 15th in the league in forcing turnovers with 14.3 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Rockets are 1st in the NBA in offensive rating with 114.7, and their defensive rating of 106.1 is ranked 25th. In terms of pace they are 13th in the league with 97.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 2nd. As a team they are 2nd in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 50% of their shots, ranking 1st in the league. Houston is 19th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.4 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 18th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Golden State is 3rd in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.6 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 50%, which is 26th in the NBA. The Warriors are 3rd in the league in defensive rating with 107.7, and their offensive rating of 113.6 is ranked 20th. They are 5th in the NBA in pace with 99.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 57% is 1st. As a unit they are 1st in the league in true shooting percentage with 60% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shot attempts, ranking 15th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Houston +8.5

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