Denver Nuggets at Sacramento Kings NBA Picks & Predictions 1/6/2018

Saturday, January 6, 2018

Golden 1 Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Denver Nuggets travel to Golden 1 Center to play the Sacramento Kings on Saturday, January 6, 2018. The opening line for this matchup has Denver as 4.5 point favorites.

The Nuggets come into this game with an overall record of 20-17. They are 3rd in the Northwest Division. They currently have a point differential of 2.0 as they are averaging 107.9 points per game while giving up 105.9 per contest. The Kings have an overall record of 12-25. They currently are 4th in the Pacific Division. They are averaging 97.4 points per game and surrendering 106.4, good for a point differential of -9.0.

Valuable Denver Nuggets Betting Trends

The Denver Nuggets are 18-18-1 against the spread

The Denver Nuggets are 17-20-0 against the over/under

Important Sacramento Kings Betting Trends

The Sacramento Kings are 15-19-3 against the spread

The Sacramento Kings are 20-17-0 against the over/under

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

11/21/17 F Paul Millsap Wrist is out indefinitely
01/05/18 G Will Barton Illness is probable Friday vs Utah

Key Sacramento Kings Injuries

10/18/17 F Harry Giles Knee is out indefinitely
01/02/18 PG Frank Mason Heel is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Gary Harris comes into this contest averaging 16.6 points per game while playing 34.7 minutes per night so far this season for the Nuggets. He pulls down 2.8 rebounds per game and dishes out 3.3 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 49% while his free throw percentage is currently at 81%. Will Barton averages 14.8 points per game in 31 minutes per contest this season. He averages 3.9 assists per contest and 5.1 rebounds per game for Denver. His field goal percentage is 45% for the year while his free throw percentage is 73%.

Player Spotlight

Willie Cauley-Stein averages 11.4 points per game while playing 26 minutes per contest this year for the Kings. He grabs 6.4 rebounds per game and has 2.3 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 50% and his free throw percentage currently is at 65%. Zach Randolph averages 15.4 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 25.6 minutes per contest. He also averages 6.9 rebounds per contest and 2.2 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 51% and his free throw percentage is 77%.

Useful Team Statistics

Denver averages 107.9 points per contest this season, which ranks them 8th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 1.95 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 8th. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 15th in the league. They average 45.6 rebounds per game and 23.6 assists per game, which ranks them 4th and 6th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 7th with 15.6 per game. The Nuggets allow 105.9 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 15th in the league. They also allow a 47% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the arc, ranking them 27th and 18th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 40.8 rebounds a game which ranks 1st and they give up 24.1 assists per contest, which puts them in 24th place in the league. They force 14.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 16th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Sacramento is 30th in the league with 97.4 points per game this year. They are 22nd in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is -9.03. They shoot 38% from 3-point range, which is good for 4th in the NBA. They are 28th in the league in rebounding with 40.1 boards per game, and 26th in assists per contest with 20.8. The Kings are 16th in turnovers per game with 14.4. The Kings surrender 106.4 points per contest, which ranks them 19th in the NBA. Their defense is allowing a 48% shooting percentage and a 39% average from 3-point range, ranking them 29th and 29th in those defensive statistics. They rank 23rd with 24 assists allowed per contest and 18th with 43.5 rebounds surrendered per game. The Kings are 12th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.4 per game this season.

Advanced Statistics

The Nuggets are 6th in the league in defensive rating with 108.8, and their offensive rating of 110.8 is ranked 14th. They are 18th in the NBA in pace with 96.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 8th. As a unit they are 9th in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shot attempts, ranking 10th in the NBA. Denver is 8th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.5 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 6th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Sacramento is 14th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.6 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 55%, which is 1st in the league. The Kings are 30th in the NBA in offensive rating with 103, and their defensive rating of 112.6 is ranked 1st. In terms of pace they are 29th in the league with 94.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 50% is 26th. As a team they are 29th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 27% of their shots, ranking 29th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Nuggets/Kings NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Denver -4.5

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