Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks NBA Picks & Predictions 3/6/2018

Tuesday, March 6, 2018

American Airlines Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Denver Nuggets travel to American Airlines Center to play the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday, March 6, 2018. The opening line for this matchup has Denver as 4.5 point favorites.

The Nuggets head into this matchup with a mark of 35-28. They are 4th in the Northwest Division. They currently have a point differential of 1.2 as they are averaging 108.7 points per contest while giving up 107.5 per game. The Mavericks have an overall record of 19-45. They currently are 4th in the Southwest Division. They are averaging 102.2 points per game and surrendering 105.1, good for a point differential of -2.9.

Valuable Denver Nuggets Betting Trends

The Denver Nuggets are 29-31-3 against the spread

The Denver Nuggets are 31-32-0 against the over/under

Important Dallas Mavericks Betting Trends

The Dallas Mavericks are 32-31-1 against the spread

The Dallas Mavericks are 29-35-0 against the over/under

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

03/04/18 G Wesley Matthews Hip is questionable Tuesday vs Denver
02/06/18 G Seth Curry Tibia is out for season

Player Spotlight

Gary Harris comes into this contest averaging 17.9 points per game while playing 34.9 minutes per night so far this season for the Nuggets. He pulls down 2.7 rebounds per game and dishes out 3 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 49% while his free throw percentage is currently at 82%. Nikola Jokic averages 16.9 points per game in 31.5 minutes per contest this season. He averages 6 assists per contest and 10.5 rebounds per game for Denver. His field goal percentage is 49% for the year while his free throw percentage is 84%.

Player Spotlight

Harrison Barnes averages 18.5 points per game while playing 34.3 minutes per contest this year for the Mavericks. He grabs 6.4 rebounds per game and has 1.9 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage currently is at 84%. Dennis Smith averages 15 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 29.6 minutes per contest. He also averages 3.9 rebounds per contest and 4.9 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 39% and his free throw percentage is 69%.

Useful Team Statistics

Denver averages 108.7 points per contest this season, which ranks them 8th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 1.13 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 8th. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 10th in the league. They average 44.1 rebounds per game and 24.7 assists per game, which ranks them 11th and 4th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 8th with 15.2 per game. The Nuggets allow 107.5 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 20th in the league. They also allow a 48% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the arc, ranking them 30th and 26th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 40.9 rebounds a game which ranks 1st and they give up 24.5 assists per contest, which puts them in 25th place in the league. They force 14.3 turnovers per game which ranks them 13th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Dallas is 27th in the league with 102.2 points per game this year. They are 25th in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is -2.92. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 14th in the NBA. They are 28th in the league in rebounding with 40.6 boards per game, and 15th in assists per contest with 22.6. The Mavericks are 29th in turnovers per game with 12.5. The Mavericks surrender 105.1 points per contest, which ranks them 11th in the NBA. Their defense is allowing a 47% shooting percentage and a 37% average from 3-point range, ranking them 23rd and 18th in those defensive statistics. They rank 15th with 23.1 assists allowed per contest and 27th with 45.5 rebounds surrendered per game. The Mavericks are 11th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.1 per game this season.

Advanced Statistics

The Nuggets are 6th in the league in defensive rating with 110.5, and their offensive rating of 111.7 is ranked 6th. They are 15th in the NBA in pace with 96.8 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 6th. As a unit they are 8th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shot attempts, ranking 10th in the NBA. Denver is 8th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.2 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 54%, which is 3rd in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Dallas is 28th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.2 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 7th in the league. The Mavericks are 22nd in the NBA in offensive rating with 106.5, and their defensive rating of 109.5 is ranked 12th. In terms of pace they are 25th in the league with 95.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 18th. As a team they are 19th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shots, ranking 4th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Nuggets/Mavericks NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Denver -4.5

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