Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets NBA Picks & Predictions 1/27/2018

Saturday, January 27, 2018

Pepsi Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Dallas Mavericks travel to Pepsi Center to play the Denver Nuggets on Saturday, January 27, 2018. The opening line for this matchup has Denver as 7 point favorites.

The Mavericks come into this game with an overall record of 16-32. They are 5th in the Southwest Division. They currently have a point differential of -1.7 as they are averaging 102.4 points per game while giving up 104.1 per contest. The Nuggets have an overall record of 25-23. They currently are 4th in the Northwest Division. They are averaging 106.5 points per game and surrendering 105.8, good for a point differential of 0.7.

Valuable Dallas Mavericks Betting Trends

The Dallas Mavericks are 24-23-1 against the spread

The Dallas Mavericks are 21-27-0 against the over/under

Important Denver Nuggets Betting Trends

The Denver Nuggets are 21-24-3 against the spread

The Denver Nuggets are 19-29-0 against the over/under

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

12/06/17 F Nerlens Noel Thumb is out indefinitely
11/14/17 F Dorian Finney-Smith Knee is out indefinitely
10/07/17 G Seth Curry Stress Fracture is out indefinitely
01/25/18 PG Devin Harris Concussion is out indefinitely
01/25/18 F Dirk Nowitzki Illness is upgraded to probable Friday vs Portland

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

11/21/17 F Paul Millsap Wrist is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Harrison Barnes averages 18.3 points per game in 34.8 minutes per contest this season. He averages 2 assists per contest and 6.8 rebounds per game for Dallas. His field goal percentage is 45% for the year while his free throw percentage is 83%. Dennis Smith comes into this contest averaging 14.7 points per game while playing 28.5 minutes per night so far this season for the Mavericks. He pulls down 3.9 rebounds per game and dishes out 4.6 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 41% while his free throw percentage is currently at 71%.

Player Spotlight

Gary Harris averages 17.2 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 34.8 minutes per contest. He also averages 2.8 rebounds per contest and 3.2 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 49% and his free throw percentage is 81%. Will Barton averages 14.2 points per game while playing 31.3 minutes per contest this year for the Nuggets. He grabs 4.8 rebounds per game and has 4.1 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage currently is at 74%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Mavericks allow 104.1 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 10th in the league. They also allow a 47% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the arc, ranking them 20th and 18th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 45.2 rebounds a game which ranks 26th, and they give up 22.5 assists per contest which puts them in 13th place in the league. They force 14 turnovers per game which ranks them 9th in the league. Dallas averages 102.4 points per contest this season, which ranks them 24th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -1.71 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team, which has them ranked 20th. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 9th in the league. They average 40.6 rebounds per game and 22.4 assists per game, which ranks them 27th and 15th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 30th with 12.5 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Nuggets surrender 105.8 points per contest, which ranks them 14th in the NBA. Their defense is allowing a 47% shooting percentage and a 37% average from 3-point range, ranking them 27th and 21st in those defensive statistics. They rank 23rd with 24.1 assists allowed per contest, and 1st with 40.9 rebounds surrendered per game. The Nuggets are 14th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.6 per game this season. Denver is 11th in the league with 106.5 points per game this year. They are 12th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is 0.65. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 19th in the NBA. They are 5th in the league in rebounding with 45 boards per game and 6th in assists per contest with 23.6. The Nuggets are 7th in turnovers per game with 15.6.

Advanced Statistics

The Mavericks are 15th in the NBA in offensive rating with 107, and their defensive rating of 108.8 is ranked 14th. In terms of pace they are 25th in the league with 95.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 13th. As a team they are 16th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shots, ranking 4th in the league. Dallas is 28th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.2 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 9th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Denver is 6th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.5 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 54%, which is 5th in the NBA. The Nuggets are 8th in the league in defensive rating with 108.9, and their offensive rating of 109.6 is ranked 12th. They are 16th in the NBA in pace with 96.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 9th. As a unit they are 11th in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shot attempts, ranking 9th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Mavericks/Nuggets NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Denver -7

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