Sacramento Kings at Dallas Mavericks NBA Picks & Predictions 10/20/2017

Friday, October 20, 2017

American Airlines Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Sacramento Kings head to American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Friday, October 20, 2017. The opening line for this game has Dallas as 3.5 point favorites.

The Kings come into this game after finishing last season with an overall record of 32-50. They were 3rd in the Pacific Division. They had a point differential of -3.9 as they averaged 102.8 points per game while giving up 106.7 per contest. The Mavericks had an overall mark of 33-49 last year. They were 5th in the Southwest Division. They averaged 97.9 points per contest and gave up 100.8, which was a point differential of -2.9.

Valuable Sacramento Kings Betting Trends

The Sacramento Kings were 42-39-1 against the spread last season

The Sacramento Kings were 35-47-0 against the over/under last year

Important Dallas Mavericks Betting Trends

The Dallas Mavericks were 43-38-1 against the spread last season

The Dallas Mavericks were 34-48-0 against the over/under last year

Key Sacramento Kings Injuries

10/19/17 G Bogdan Bogdanovic Ankle is "?" Friday vs. Dallas
10/19/17 F Zach Randolph Mouth is "?" Friday vs. Dallas
10/18/17 F Harry Giles Knee is out indefinitely

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

10/07/17 G Seth Curry Stress Fracture out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Buddy Hield comes into this game after averaging 10.6 points per contest while playing 23 minutes per night last year. He grabbed 3.3 rebounds per contest and distributed 1.5 assists per game. His FG percentage was 43% while his free throw percentage was 84%. Zach Randolph averaged 14.1 points per contest in 24.5 minutes per game last year. He averaged 1.7 assists per game and 8.2 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage was 45% for the season while his free throw percentage was 73%.

Player Spotlight

Dirk Nowitzki scored 14.2 points per contest while playing 26.4 minutes per game last season. He hauled in 6.5 rebounds per contest and had 1.5 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage was 44% and his free throw percentage finished at 88%. Harrison Barnes averaged 19.2 points per game last year and he saw the court an average of 35.5 minutes per game. He also brought in 5 rebounds per game and had 1.5 assists per contest. His field goal percentage was 47% and his free throw percentage was 86%.

Useful Team Statistics

Sacramento averaged 102.8 points per contest last year, which was 24th in the league. Their average scoring margin was -3.88 and their shooting percentage was 46% as a unit, which had them ranked 13th. From 3-point territory they shot 38%, which was good for 5th in the NBA. They averaged 41.1 boards per contest and 22.5 assists per game, which ranked them 28th and 17th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they were 10th with 14.6 per game. The Kings allowed 106.7 points per contest, which was 19th in the NBA. They also surrendered a 46% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 22nd and 19th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents averaged 42.9 rebounds a game which ranked 10th, and they allowed 23.7 assists per game which put them in 24th place in the league. They forced 14 turnovers per game which ranked them 16th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Dallas was 30th in the NBA with 97.9 points per contest last season. They were 28th in the league in shooting at 44%, while their average scoring margin was -2.93. They shot 36% from beyond the arc, which was good for 16th in the league. They were 30th in the NBA in rebounding with 38.6 boards per contest and 27th in assists per game with 20.8. The Mavericks were 28th in turnovers per contest with 11.9. The Mavericks gave up 100.8 points per game, which ranked them 4th in the league. Their defense surrendered a 47% shooting percentage and a 38% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 27th and 29th in those defensive statistics. They ranked 5th with 21.3 dimes allowed per game and 25th with 44.5 boards surrendered per contest. The Mavericks were 23rd in the league in forcing turnovers with 14.9 per contest last year.

Advanced Statistics

The Kings were 21st in the league in defensive rating with 111.3, and their offensive rating of 107.3 was ranked 6th. They were 23rd in the NBA in pace with 94.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% was 14th. As a unit they were 14th in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shot 3-pointers on 29% of their shot attempts, ranking 20th in the NBA. Sacramento was 4th in turnovers, as they turned the ball over an average of 13.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.9 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year was 53%, which was 5th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Dallas was 28th in the league in turnovers, as they turned the ball over an average of 11.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.4 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year was 53%, which was 4th in the NBA. The Mavericks were 25th in the league in defensive rating with 108.8, and their offensive rating of 105.6 was ranked 15th. They were 29th in the NBA in pace with 92.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 51% was 18th. As a unit they were 19th in the league in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shot 3-pointers on 37% of their shot attempts, ranking 5th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Kings/Mavericks NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Sacramento -3.5

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