Wednesday, January 4, 2017

Sleep Train Arena

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The Miami Heat travel to Sleep Train Arena to play the Sacramento Kings on Wednesday, January 4, 2017. The opening line for this matchup has Sacramento as 3 point favorites. The Heat come into this game with an overall record of 10-25. They are 5th in the Southeast Division. They currently have a point differential of -3.5 as they are averaging 98.4 points per game while giving up 101.9 per contest. The Kings have an overall record of 14-19. They currently are 3rd in the Pacific Division. They are averaging 101.8 points per game and surrendering 104.3, good for a point differential of -2.5.

Goran Dragic comes into this contest averaging 18.8 points per game while playing 34.3 minutes per night so far this season for the Heat. He pulls down 3.9 rebounds per game and dishes out 6.7 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 45% while his free throw percentage is currently at 79%. Hassan Whiteside averages 17.3 points per game in 33.9 minutes per contest this season. He averages 0.7 assists per contest and 14.3 rebounds per game for Miami. His field goal percentage is 55% for the year while his free throw percentage is 54%.

DeMarcus Cousins averages 29 points per game while playing 34.8 minutes per contest this year for the Kings. He grabs 10.2 rebounds per game and has 3.7 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage currently is at 78%. Darren Collison averages 11.9 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 29.3 minutes per contest. He also averages 2 rebounds per contest and 4.3 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is 83%.

Miami averages 98.4 points per contest this season which ranks them 29th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -3.5 and their shooting percentage is 44% as a team which has them ranked 23rd. Behind the arc they shoot 35% which is good for 21st in the league. They average 54.1 rebounds per game and 21.1 assists per game which ranks them 7th and 21st in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 9th with 13.3 per game. The Heat allow 101.9 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 7th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc ranking them 8th and 10th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 53.4 rebounds a game which ranks 21st and they give up 20 assists per contest which puts them in 3rd place in the league. They force 12.9 turnovers per game which ranks them 25th in the league.

Sacramento averages 101.8 points per game this year which ranks them 22nd in the league. Their average scoring margin is -2.5 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team which has them sitting in the 18th spot in the league. Behind the arc they shoot 35% which is good for 18th in the NBA. They average 50.1 rebounds per game and 21.5 assists per contest which ranks them 24th and 19th respectively. In the turnover department the Kings rank 17th with 13.9 per game. The Kings allow 104.3 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 16th in the league. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the arc ranking them 23rd and 27th in those defensive statistics. Opponents average 51.1 rebounds a game which ranks 9th and they give up 22.6 assists per contest which puts them in 20th place in the league. The Kings force 14.9 turnovers per game which ranks them 8th in the NBA.

The Heat have an offensive rating of 103.2 and a defensive rating of 106.8. In terms of pace they average 94.5 possessions per 48 minutes and their effective field goal percentage is 49%. As a team they have a true shooting percentage of 52% and they shoot 3 pointers on 29% of their shots. Miami turns the ball over an average of 12.2 times per 100 possessions and they force 11.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 49%.

The Kings rating on offense is 106.9 and they have a defensive rating of 109.5. They get 94.3 possessions per 48 minutes and they have an effective field goal percentage of 50%. As a unit they have a true shooting percentage of 54% and they attempt 3 pointers on 30% of their shot attempts. Sacramento turns the ball over on 12.9 out of every 100 possessions and their opponents average 13.9 turnovers per 100 possessions. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the year is 52%.

Miami Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat are 17-18-0 against the spread

The Miami Heat are 16-19-0 against the over/under

Sacramento Kings Betting Trends

The Sacramento Kings are 17-16-0 against the spread

The Sacramento Kings are 14-19-0 against the over/under

Miami Heat Injuries

12/27/16 F Josh McRoberts Foot out indefinitely
10/22/16 F Chris Bosh Blood Clot out for season
01/02/17 G Dion Waiters Groin doubtful Tuesday vs. Phoenix
01/02/17 PG Goran Dragic Back "?" Tuesday vs. Phoenix
01/02/17 C Hassan Whiteside Eye is downgraded to doubtful Tuesday vs. Phoenix
01/02/17 F Justise Winslow Shoulder is downgraded to doubtful Tuesday vs. Phoenix

Sacramento Kings Injuries

01/02/17 G Arron Afflalo Elbow "?" Tuesday vs. Denver
01/02/17 F Rudy Gay Hip doubtful Tuesday vs. Denver
01/02/17 PG Ty Lawson Facial injured last game, "?" Tuesday vs. Denver

Tony's Pick: Take Sacramento -3

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