Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons NBA Picks & Predictions 11/12/2017

Sunday, November 12, 2017

Little Ceasars Arena

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Miami Heat head to Little Ceasars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Sunday, November 12, 2017. The opening line for this game has Detroit as 2.5 point favorites.

The Heat come into this game with an overall record of 6-6. They are 3rd in the Southeast Division. They currently have a point differential of -0.5 as they are averaging 101.8 points per game while giving up 102.3 per contest. The Pistons have an overall mark of 9-3. They currently are 1st in the Central Division. They are averaging 106.1 points per contest and giving up 101.1, which is a point differential of 5.0.

Valuable Miami Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat are 4-6-2 against the spread

The Miami Heat are 5-6-1 against the over/under

Important Detroit Pistons Betting Trends

The Detroit Pistons are 8-3-1 against the spread

The Detroit Pistons are 7-5-0 against the over/under

Key Miami Heat Injuries

10/14/17 G Rodney McGruder Tibia is out indefinitely

Key Detroit Pistons Injuries

11/10/17 F Jon Leuer Ankle is "?" Sunday vs. Miami
11/10/17 F Stanley Johnson Hip is "?" Sunday vs. Miami

Player Spotlight

Goran Dragic comes into this game averaging 20 points per contest while playing 34.3 minutes per night so far this year. He grabs 4.2 rebounds per contest and distributes 4.6 assists per game. His FG percentage is 47% while his free throw percentage is 80%. Dion Waiters averages 16.4 points per contest in 31.8 minutes per game this year. He averages 3.2 assists per game and 3 rebounds per contest for Miami. His field goal percentage is 43% for the season while his free throw percentage is 80%.

Player Spotlight

Tobias Harris has scored 19.7 points per contest while playing 33.1 minutes per game this season for the Pistons. He hauls in 4.8 rebounds per contest and has 1.8 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is at 88%. Andre Drummond averages 14.2 points per game this year and he's on the court an average of 33.2 minutes per game. He also brings in 15.6 rebounds per game and 3.2 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 54% and his free throw percentage is 64%.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 101.8 points per contest this year, which is 24th in the league. Their average scoring margin is -0.5 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a unit, which has them ranked 17th. From 3-point territory they shoot 35%, which is good for 19th in the NBA. They average 43.5 boards per contest and 20.2 assists per game, which ranks them 16th and 24th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 3rd with 17.3 per game. The Heat allow 102.3 points per contest which is 9th in the NBA. They also surrender a 44% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 5th and 15th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 44.3 rebounds a game which ranks 16th, and they allow 17.7 assists per game which puts them in 2nd place in the league. They force 14.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 9th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Detroit is 15th in the NBA with 106.1 points per contest this season. They are 10th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is 5. They shoot 37% from beyond the arc, which is good for 10th in the league. They are 18th in the NBA in rebounding with 42.9 boards per contest and 14th in assists per game with 22.2. The Pistons are 27th in turnovers per contest with 14.5. The Pistons give up 101.1 points per game, which ranks them 8th in the league. Their defense is surrendering a 47% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 24th and 16th in those defensive statistics. They rank 26th with 23.7 dimes allowed per game and 7th with 42 boards surrendered per contest. The Pistons are 27th in the league in forcing turnovers with 17.1 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 24th in the league in defensive rating with 103.4, and their offensive rating of 102.9 is ranked 24th. They are 17th in the NBA in pace with 98.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 15th. As a unit they are 16th in the league in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shot attempts, ranking 7th in the NBA. Miami is 2nd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.3 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 49%, which is 28th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Detroit is 26th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 15.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 8th in the league. The Pistons are 7th in the NBA in offensive rating with 109.5, and their defensive rating of 104.3 is ranked 20th. In terms of pace they are 21st in the league with 96.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 11th. As a team they are 15th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 32% of their shots, ranking 18th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Pistons NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Miami +2.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn