Miami Heat at Denver Nuggets NBA Picks & Predictions 11/3/2017

Friday, November 3, 2017

Pepsi Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Miami Heat head to Pepsi Center to take on the Denver Nuggets on Friday, November 3, 2017. The opening line for this game has Denver as 5.5 point favorites.

The Heat head into this matchup with a mark of 3-4. They are 4th in the Southeast Division. They currently have a point differential of -1.7 as they are averaging 104.9 points per contest while giving up 106.6 per game. The Nuggets have an overall mark of 4-4. They currently are 5th in the Northwest Division. They are averaging 107.1 points per contest and giving up 105.3, which is a point differential of 1.8.

Valuable Miami Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat are 0-5-2 against the spread

The Miami Heat are 4-3-0 against the over/under

Important Denver Nuggets Betting Trends

The Denver Nuggets are 3-5-0 against the spread

The Denver Nuggets are 3-5-0 against the over/under

Key Miami Heat Injuries

11/02/17 F James Johnson Knee is "?" Friday vs. Denver
10/14/17 G Rodney McGruder Tibia out indefinitely

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Goran Dragic comes into this game averaging 19.9 points per contest while playing 34.7 minutes per night so far this year. He grabs 4.1 rebounds per contest and distributes 4.4 assists per game. His FG percentage is 49% while his free throw percentage is 78%. Dion Waiters averages 16 points per contest in 32.7 minutes per game this year. He averages 3.6 assists per game and 3.1 rebounds per contest for Miami. His field goal percentage is 44% for the season while his free throw percentage is 71%.

Player Spotlight

Nikola Jokic has scored 16.1 points per contest while playing 32 minutes per game this season for the Nuggets. He hauls in 11.8 rebounds per contest and has 5 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 53% and his free throw percentage is at 90%. Will Barton averages 13.8 points per game this year and he's on the court an average of 27.3 minutes per game. He also brings in 4.8 rebounds per game and 2.6 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is 53%.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 104.9 points per contest this year, which is 18th in the league. Their average scoring margin is -1.71 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a unit, which has them ranked 9th. From 3-point territory they shoot 33%, which is good for 25th in the NBA. They average 42.7 boards per contest and 20.9 assists per game, which ranks them 21st and 22nd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 14th with 15.6 per game. The Heat allow 106.6 points per contest which is 17th in the NBA. They also surrender a 46% shooting percentage and a 38% average from 3-point range, ranking them 19th and 22nd in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 45.1 rebounds a game which ranks 21st, and they allow 18.1 assists per game which puts them in 3rd place in the league. They force 14.3 turnovers per game which ranks them 5th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Denver is 10th in the NBA with 107.1 points per contest this season. They are 10th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is 1.88. They shoot 39% from beyond the arc, which is good for 5th in the league. They are 13th in the NBA in rebounding with 45.1 boards per contest and 5th in assists per game with 24.1. The Nuggets are 21st in turnovers per contest with 14.8. The Nuggets give up 105.3 points per game, which ranks them 14th in the league. Their defense is surrendering a 45% shooting percentage and a 38% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 12th and 24th in those defensive statistics. They rank 16th with 22.4 dimes allowed per game and 13th with 43.5 boards surrendered per contest. The Nuggets are 11th in the league in forcing turnovers with 15.3 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 20th in the NBA in offensive rating with 104.7, and their defensive rating of 106.4 is ranked 14th. In terms of pace they are 13th in the league with 98.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 11th. As a team they are 15th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shots, ranking 11th in the league. Miami is 13th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 20th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Denver is 21st in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 17th in the league. The Nuggets are 7th in the NBA in offensive rating with 109.6, and their defensive rating of 107.7 is ranked 10th. In terms of pace they are 19th in the league with 97.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 9th. As a team they are 14th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 32% of their shots, ranking 18th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Nuggets NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Denver -5.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Josh Schonwald